A second poll in 24 hours shows Donald Trump tied with Kamala Harris in one of the key Midwestern states that could swing the election.
A Marist College poll released shortly after midnight Thursday shows Harris ahead of Trump in Wisconsin and Michigan and the rivals statistically tied in Pennsylvania.
Trump won all three so-called “blue wall” states against Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016, giving him an Electoral College victory.
In 2020, President Joe Biden returned all three states to the Democratic column.
The poll shows Harris leading Trump by five points in Michigan, 52 percent to 47 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
A second poll in 24 hours shows Donald Trump tied with Kamala Harris in one of the key Midwestern states that could change the course of the election
A Marist College poll released shortly after midnight Thursday shows Harris ahead of Trump in Wisconsin and Michigan and the rivals statistically tied in Pennsylvania.
Harris has a small lead in Michigan among independents and a larger lead among black voters and women. Trump leads in the state among white voters and men.
In Wisconsin, where Trump and Harris were tied in Wednesday’s key poll, Harris has a one-point lead at 50 percent to 49 percent, but within the margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.
Harris had a larger lead among independents in Wisconsin (51 percent to 47 percent) than in Michigan (49 to 47) and even outpaced Trump among white and male voters.
In Pennsylvania, however, the two cannot be separated, with a 49-49 tie and a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
Trump leads Harris 49 percent to 45 percent among independent voters, while he counts among men and white voters, while Harris leads among women and nonwhite voters.
A Quinnipiac University poll released early Wednesday shows Harris ahead of Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while they are tied in Wisconsin.
Harris now holds a six-point lead in Pennsylvania in that poll (51 percent to 45 percent), with Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each getting 1 percent.
The margin of error in Pennsylvania is plus or minus 2.7 percent.
The poll shows Harris leading Trump by five points in Michigan, 52 percent to 47 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Trump won three so-called “blue wall” states against Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016, giving him an Electoral College victory.
In Michigan, Harris leads Trump by five points (50 percent to 45 percent), with Stein receiving 2 percent of the vote.
His lead is just outside the margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent.
In Wisconsin, Harris leads by 1 point (48 percent to Trump’s 47 percent), while Stein receives 1 percent of the vote.
That poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.
By narrow margins, voters in all three states say Trump is the better leader on the economy and immigration, but Harris is the far-right leader on abortion.
In Pennsylvania, 57 percent say Harris would do a better job handling the abortion issue, compared with 38 percent who said Trump.
In Michigan, 53 percent support Harris and 42 percent support Trump, and in Wisconsin, 53 percent also chose Harris, while 40 percent chose Trump.
Harris had the edge when asked which candidate was better at “preserving democracy.”
He had a narrow lead when Americans in all three states were asked which candidate would best handle a crisis.
In Pennsylvania, 49 percent said Harris and 47 percent said Trump.
In Michigan, 51 percent said Harris, 47 percent said Trump, and in Wisconsin, where Harris has the smallest lead, 49 percent said Harris and 48 percent said Trump.
The three Midwestern states are among seven considered crucial to the race, along with Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.
Biden won six of seven in 2020 on his way to the White House.
If Harris were to lose Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, she would have to hold on to Arizona, Georgia and Nevada or win North Carolina to keep the White House for Democrats.
Harris will return to Wisconsin to campaign on Friday, while Trump will head to Pennsylvania for a rally on Monday night.
