The latest polls suggest Kamala Harris has received little to no boost at the convention, showing Donald Trump ahead of the vice president in several key states.
A Trafalgar Group poll of seven of the toughest contests — considered by experts to be Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada — shows Trump either leading or tied with Harris.
Trump leads Harris 47% to 45% in Pennsylvania and 47% to 46% in Wisconsin, two states that flipped Republican in 2016 when Trump won, before flipping back to the Democrats in 2020 when they lost to Joe Biden.
The Trafalgar poll, which poll aggregators say leans Republican, also shows Harris nearly tied with Trump in Michigan, with the former president leading 47% to 46.6%.
Michigan was another state Trump flipped from Hillary Clinton in 2016 before ceding to Biden four years later.
The latest polls suggest Kamala Harris has received little to no boost at the convention, showing Donald Trump ahead of the vice president in five key states
A Trafalgar Group poll of seven of the toughest contests — considered by experts to be Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada — shows Trump either leading or tied with Harris.
An independent survey conducted by Insider’s Advantage shows Trump holding a one-point lead in Arizona (49%-48%), Nevada (48%-47%) and North Carolina (49%-48%), while Harris and Trump are neck and neck with him in Georgia, at 48%.
Both campaigns are aimed at independent and undecided voters in seven key states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Nevada voted blue in both 2016 and 2020 and has the least influence in the Electoral College of all the battlegrounds, with just six votes.
In the 2016 race between Trump and Hillary Clinton, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin voted red and only Nevada voted blue.
But in the 2020 race between Trump and Joe Biden, five of the six states that turned red in previous election cycles turned blue.
Only the southern state of North Carolina remained red.
Trump, Harris and their running mates – Ohio Sen. JD Vance and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz respectively – are sweeping these battleground states.
It’s a much-needed boost in the polls for Trump, who is still behind in the… RealClear Survey average of 1.8 points against Harris.
Both campaigns, including Harris’ running mate Tim Walz, are targeting independent and undecided voters in seven key swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Trump, Harris and their running mates – Ohio Sen. JD Vance (pictured) and Minnesota Gov. Walz respectively – are sweeping these battleground states.
Harris has a 57% chance of winning in the Five Thirty Eight electoral model, while The Nate Silver Model It also shows the vice president with a slight advantage.
This comes after news that the vice president failed to gain any momentum in the polls following the Democratic National Convention.
Typically, the love fest of a political convention ends with a surge in support for a party’s nominee, but this year there was an exception for both the Republican and Democratic events.
The vice president’s odds are essentially the same now as they were before the Democratic National Convention in Chicago two weeks ago, according to A new ABC News/Ipsos poll released on Sunday.
Harris has 50 percent support among all adults and registered voters, compared with 46 percent who say they would vote for Trump if the election were held today.
His lead is 2 percent, outside the poll’s margin of error, but that slim advantage has historically meant little or nothing to candidates’ actual chances of victory in November.
While the results are nearly identical to those before the Democratic National Convention, the gender preference gap has widened, with women preferring Harris over Trump by 13 points, 54 percent to 41 percent.
Before the convention, Harris held a 6-point lead among women voters and a 3-point lead among men in the ABC poll.
It’s a much-needed boost in the polls for Trump, who still trails Harris by 1.8 points in the RealClearPolling average.
This comes after news that the vice president failed to gain any momentum in the polls following the Democratic National Convention.
Trump now leads among men by 5 points, 51 percent to 46 percent.
Similar to Harris, Trump also did not experience the usual surge following the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, in July.
The stalemate in the relationship between Trump and Harris is a sign of the deadlocked nature of the highly polarized 2024 race as the campaigns enter the final two months before Election Day.
Trump leads on key issues that concern voters heading into the election, including an 8 percent gain in confidence in addressing the economy and rising inflation and a 9-point advantage on handling immigration at the southern border.
The candidates’ running mates are neck and neck, with just a 1 percentage point difference between those who believe they are prepared to be president if necessary. Walz has 50 percent confidence, compared to 49 percent for Vance.
But a quarter of respondents were unwilling to give their opinion on Walz or Vance.
Much of the narrative this week appears to be geared toward anticipating the Sept. 10 debate in Philadelphia between Trump and Harris, televised on ABC News.
Trump will appear at a Fox News town hall with Sean Hannity at the New Holland Arena in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, on September 4.
