A Republican strategist revealed that internal polling is in and that operatives within President Donald Trump’s campaign are concerned they are “not where they need to be.”
Margaret Hoover appeared on CNN’s The Source on Wednesday and told host Kaitlan Collins that early voting numbers indicate “real enthusiasm, which is hard to measure.”
“I think their interns are actually giving them pause,” said Hoover, who worked on George W. Bush’s 2004 re-election campaign and Rudy Giuliani’s failed run for the White House in 2008.
‘They have many resources to carry out surveys, more than those of public media companies. “And they’re probably seeing the same things that you’re talking about, which is that there’s a real buzz around early voting,” he added.
A larger number of registered Democrats have voted so far, more than 11 million, compared with 10.5 million registered Republicans, according to data from 25 states that report party registration.
Margaret Hoover said she heard from Republican insiders that “there is concern in the Trump campaign…that the turnout and enthusiasm numbers are not where they need to be.”
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are tied in national polls, with many swing states within a few percentage points or less.
Given these numbers, Hoover said Republicans are telling him there is “concern” among Trump campaign operatives.
“I’ve heard from Republicans that there is concern in the Trump campaign among operatives who really know the political media and that the turnout and enthusiasm numbers are not where they need to be,” Hoover said.
As Election Day approaches, now less than a week away, Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are tied in most public polls and, according to Hoover, internal polls show much the same.
Nearly 60 million people have already voted in the 2024 election, including those who voted by mail and in person, according to the latest figures from the University of Florida Election Laboratory.
That’s about 37 percent of the total turnout in the 2020 election, in which more than 158 million people voted.
CNN commentator David Axelrod, who served in the Obama administration, reminded the panel that “this is a very, very close election.”
“No one knows what the hell is going to happen,” he said. “And we’ll know sometime next week, hopefully, what the response will be.”
People in Washington DC begin voting early on October 29, 2024 at the Columbia Heights Community Center.
Poll Averages The New York Times and fivethirtyeight Harris has a national lead of at most 1.4 percentage points, while RealClearPolitics The average has Trump leading by 0.4 points.
On all three aggregators, the closest swing states are Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada.
Joe Biden won those four states in 2020.
Trump has a decisive advantage in the betting markets: 58 percent of people on betting site Kalshi are betting on the prospect of him winning a second term.
Tarek Mansour, chief executive of Kalshi, which has become the first legal online election betting platform in the United States, said it has received more than $92 million in bets tied to the 2024 race.
“We should definitely trust the (betting) markets,” Mansour told DailyMail.com this week.
Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, says election bettors are more accurate than pollsters because “they have skin in the game.”
Billionaire hedge fund manager Ken Griffin has said former President Donald Trump is expected to win the election next week.
Legendary investor Stan Druckenmiller has said the stock market is “convinced” Donald Trump will win the presidential election.
Major stock market investors also seem convinced that Trump will be the next president.
Billionaire hedge fund manager Ken Griffin said that while he believes Trump will emerge victorious on Tuesday, he also believes the margin will be very slim.
Griffin has contributed about $100 million to the Republican Party this election cycle. Bloomberg reported.
Stan Druckenmiller, another hedge funder and founder of Duquesne Family Office, said the market seems “very convinced” the former president will win.
Some said the fact that shares of Trump’s media company, Trump Media & Technology (DJT), rose more than 22 percent after his Sunday rally at Madison Square Garden was a sign that Wall Street was turning upside down. was preparing for another Trump term.
Shares have since stabilized, falling nearly five percent since the market opened Monday morning.