Home US New poll shows a key swing state could flip, with devastating consequences for Kamala Harris and Democrats

New poll shows a key swing state could flip, with devastating consequences for Kamala Harris and Democrats

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Donald Trump at a Mothers for Liberty event

Vice President Kamala Harris heads to Michigan on Monday, where new polls show Donald Trump could turn the tide in the crucial swing state in November.

The EPIC-MRA poll shows a very close race with the Republican presidential nominee holding a slim lead in a head-to-head matchup.

The poll shows Trump with 47 percent of the vote to Harris’s 46 percent, and that 7 percent of Michigan voters are undecided or don’t want to say who they support. But there’s a 4 percent margin of error, so the presidential candidates are basically in a statistical tie.

Both campaigns have shown how important this key state is with its 15 electoral votes. Biden brought the state back into Democratic hands in 2020, after Trump won it in 2016.

The vice president will hold a campaign event in Detroit on Monday. The former president held a rally in the state last week.

Kamala Harris campaigns in Savannah, Georgia

Michigan poll shows Trump and Harris tied in key state

On the issues, more respondents said Trump would do better in handling the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, as well as dealing with China, Iran and North Korea.

They also gave him higher marks on policies to help the economy and even suggested he would be more likely to propose bipartisan legislation to secure the border even though he rejected a bipartisan border security deal earlier this year that Harris supports.

At the same time, Michigan voters said Harris would do better on nominating justices to the U.S. Supreme Court, addressing climate change, reproductive rights legislation, affordable housing and ensuring access to health care.

The poll found that neither candidate’s choice of running mate played a significant role in their support for the candidate.

Sixty-five percent of respondents said Trump’s choice of Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance will have no impact on their vote, while 55 percent said Harris’ choice of Minnesota governor as his running mate had no impact.

A survey of active and likely Michigan voters conducted from August 23-26

A survey of active and likely Michigan voters conducted from August 23-26

While the EPIC-MRA poll shows a virtually tied race, it is closely in line with several other polls conducted in Michigan in recent weeks as the presidential campaign heads into the final stretch.

Real Clear Politics’ average of recent polls in the key state shows Harris with a lead of just over one point over Trump in Michigan.

An Emerson poll and a Bloomberg poll conducted around the same time show Harris leading by three points, but they are also within the margin of error.

Meanwhile, Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin has a slim lead over former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race.

Both are competing to fill the seat being vacated by retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow.

The EPIC-MRA poll has Slotkin at 46 percent to Rogers’ 42 percent.

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