A top Democratic strategist is warning liberals not to worry that Trump could defeat Biden in the presidential election, even though polls show the two candidates tied.
A new Wall Street Journal poll released Tuesday has President Joe Biden trailing former President Donald Trump in six of seven battleground states.
Poll data shows Trump leading Biden in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The two men are tied in Wisconsin when only Trump and Biden are on the ballot.
Damning polls have some Democrats worried about the November election, but strategist and consultant Simon Rosenberg insists Biden will secure his re-election.
‘We are calmly confident. Generally speaking, we can handle this; We can win the elections,” he said. The New York Times.
Top Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg insists Biden will secure his re-election and tells his liberal colleagues not to worry.
Polls published by The Wall Street Journal put President Joe Biden behind former President Donald Trump in six of the seven battleground states.
Rosenberg said Biden’s attack on Trump during the State of the Union helped him and said Trump is not as strong a candidate now as he was in 2016.
‘The biggest thing people got wrong in 2022 was that they thought the Democratic Party wasn’t going to make it, that we weren’t hungry and we didn’t have energy. And it turned out we were.
‘In my opinion, we are asking surveys to do too much when we have all this other information and data available to increase our understanding. And to me, that additional data suggests that we are going to have a good election. But we still have a long way to go,” Rosenberg said.
In 2022, many were surprised at how Democrats performed and withstood an expected “red wave.”
Now, 18 months later, positive headlines about Biden’s State of the Union address, one of the biggest political events of the year, and a recent flurry of campaign travel are said to have helped change his public image.
Biden earned rave reviews with a combative State of the Union when he referred to “my predecessor” 13 times without ever using Trump’s name.
Biden attacked him over Russia, reproductive rights, affordable health care, the border crisis, gun control, the January 6 attack and his handling of the pandemic, in an effort to remind people of the turbulence of the years of Trump, which Rosenberg said plays in Biden’s favor.
“Trump is a much weaker candidate in this election than in 2016. He is more dangerous. He is more extreme. His performance on the stump is much more erratic and disturbing,” he stated.
‘Something structural is happening behind all of this, which is that Dobbs broke the Republican Party and that a large part of the Republican Party has disassociated itself from MAGA. It is costing them elections and many donors… and money.”
The Wall Street Journal poll found that the president’s age remains a liability: Only 28 percent of voters in swing states say they believe Biden, 81, is better suited physically and mentally to run the House White.
However, Rosenberg said Biden’s age could be used to his advantage.
‘I know Biden’s age is a problem. But I think Biden alleviated a lot of the concerns that people had by performing well at the State of the Union,” he said.
“But you also have to write, in my opinion, you have to be honest and impartial: there is a strong argument that Biden’s age is also an advantage for him, that, at a time of enormous challenge for the country, having “The guy who is the most experienced person to ever be in the Oval Office may have been a blessing to us.”
The Wall Street Journal poll found that the president’s age remains a liability, but Rosenberg said Biden’s age could be used to his advantage.
On the question of third-party candidates, the Wall Street Journal article about the poll said that pollsters believed that voters who currently support third-party candidates were persuadable voters and could end up voting for Trump or Biden.
And among third-party candidates, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy is attracting the most support: between 7 and 15 percent in the seven battlegrounds.
In Kennedy’s case, he is viewed favorably by half of all Republican voters, but only a quarter of Democrats, despite having previously run for the Democratic nomination.
Pollsters found that Kennedy gets more support from voters who would otherwise back Trump over Biden.
Other third-party candidates — independent Cornel West, Libertarian Lars Mapstead and Green Party challenger Jill Stein — are getting between 1 and 3 percent of the vote in the seven states.
The other third-party candidates are getting more support from Biden than Trump.
‘We know from history that we have to take all of that very seriously. “Democrats understand that not only are we facing Donald Trump this cycle, but we’re also facing three other candidates, and we’re going to have to engage with them,” Rosenberg said.
‘We are going to have to treat them as if they were serious candidates in this election. And we have to do what we do in politics, which is make them unacceptable to voters.”