Australia's leadership chaos over the past six years could have been based on poor opinion polls, but those days may be over.
There have been five prime ministers in six years, with poor polling that was regularly used to justify the changes.
The accuracy of political opinion polls is in the spotlight after every major opinion poll has not predicted the unexpected election victory of Prime Minister Scott Morrison on Saturday night.
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The chaos of Australia over the past six years could have been based on poor opinion polls (photo is Tony Abbott's last media conference as a first PM in September 2015)
Malcolm Turnbull most famously used Newspoll to remove a PM PM Abbott PM in September 2015.
& # 39; The only thing that is clear about our current situation is the trajectory & # 39 ;, the liberal challenger told reporters at the Parliament House in Canberra.
& # 39; We have lost 30 Newspolls in a row. It is clear that people have spoken about Mr. Abbott's leadership. & # 39;
Mr. Turnbull himself was removed in August last year after losing 39 Newspolls, while Peter Dutton, Secretary of the Interior, launched two failed leadership bids.
Essential Media Director Peter Lewis said that polls are never & # 39; a goal in itself & # 39; may be.
& # 39; That's a good thing too & # 39 ;, he told Daily Mail Australia on Friday.
& # 39; What happened during the weekend will challenge everyone to be more attentive to the way they use political polls.
& # 39; They have been misused for a long time. They are never predictive tools, they only describe what is happening in the moment. & # 39;
Polling company Roy Morgan & # 39; s chief executive Michele Levine, however, said politicians who want to become party leaders continue to selectively quote polls to promote their ambitions.
& # 39; That's really stupid. I think people use polls to achieve their goals, & she told Daily Mail Australia.
Labor was just as bad, with Kevin Rudd quoting private comments to his party colleagues in June 2013 to remove Australia's first female prime minister, Julia Gillard, 16 months after he launched a failed leadership problem.
She had lost 52 Newspolls, though not all consecutively, after the formation of a minority government with the Greens and two independents after the August 2010 elections.
The woman who promised not to introduce a CO2 tax during the election campaign had done so in 2011 as part of the power sharing scheme.
In June 2010, Mr. Rudd himself became the very first first-term prime minister to be overthrown by his own party, after his deputy, Gillard, stepped on his non-popular mining proposal to launch a leadership grip.
Only two years earlier, Rudd & # 39; s popularity had risen to a record high, with Newspoll showing that he had a 71 approval as preferred prime minister against the Brendan Nelson of the liberal party.
Opinion polls have been discredited after Prime Minister Scott Morrison won a majority on 18 May, despite the coalition losing 55 consecutive Newspolls (he is pictured on 18 May with his wife Jenny and daughters Abbey and Lily)
His liberal predecessor Malcolm Turnbull (photo) had used the now discredited Newspoll to remove a PM PM Abbott PM in September 2015
Opinion polls have been discredited after Mr Morrison reached a majority on May 18, despite the coalition losing 55 consecutive Newspolls.
Levine, whose own polling station erroneously predicted a 52 to 48 percent victory for Labor four days before the election, said many voters simply changed their minds at the polling station.
Roy Morgan chief executive Michele Levine said that pollsters were unable to make the & # 39; shy liberal & # 39; to detect
& # 39; They wriggle because they indeed came back at the end of the day and voted liberal and they can hardly believe they did it, & she said.
& # 39; Someone who spoke about this said: & # 39; Shy liberals, give me a break & # 39;. & # 39;
Ms. Levine said that voters who praised opinion polls that they preferred Labor & # 39; s climate change policy were also opposed to the opposition's plan to scrap negative gearing for existing properties and to deprive some shareholder retirees of franking credits.
& # 39; For them, it was a financial issue, one of the taxes that had a personal impact, despite the fact that they desperately want to see themselves as progressive and see themselves as pro for the environment and the good people, & # 39; she said.
The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age, now owned by Nine, dropped their contract with polling company Ipsos after the election result was poor.
A few minutes before the vote was closed, Ipsos let the ALP be in charge of the 51.5-48.5 coalition, while Newspoll showed that Labor was 52 to 48 percent ahead, after preferences.
In June 2010, Kevin Rudd (photo) himself was the very first first-term prime minister to be overthrown by his own party, after his deputy, Gillard, relied on his unpopular mining proposal to launch a leadership coupe
Galaxy was also tainted with his exit poll on Saturday night, giving Labor a lead of 52 to 48 and erroneously showing the fluctuations to the opposition in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland that didn't come true.
Mr. Morrison's & # 39; miracle & # 39; victory was so breathtaking because the government had lost virtually every opinion poll since 2016.
On Saturday night, his coalition government was re-elected for a third consecutive period and the election won 51.44 percent compared to 48.56 percent for Labor.
The liberal and national parties won 78 seats in the extended House of Representatives with room for 151, compared to 67 for Labor, which is the Townsville-based seat of Herbert in northern Queensland, Lindsay in western Sydney and Braddon in western from Tasmania.
The liberal party is at the forefront of the northern Tasmanian seat of Bass and Macquarie in the far north-west of Sydney and the Blue Mountains, the Australian election committee.
Three years later, he used Julia Gillard's unpopularity to justify a second leadership challenge
Labor is only marginally ahead in former deputy prime minister and treasurer Wayne Swan & # 39; s old northern Brisbane seat of Lilley, in an election that saw large swings against the Opposition across Queensland from the southeast corner to the north of the state.
Under the departing Labor leader Bill Shorten, the opposition picked up Gilmore only on the NSW South Coast, where the local liberal party had power struggles, and the Victorian seats of Corangamite and Dunkley, both of whom were Labor one after the other after redistribution.
Labor failed to retrieve liberal party seats in Melbourne & # 39; s suburbs at medium distances, despite betting offices including Sportsbet who predicted a win in Chisholm.
However, opinion polls and gambling markets had correctly predicted that Mr. Abbott would lose his northern Sydney beaches, Warringah, to Olympic winter sportsman Zali Steggall.
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