A series of general election polls have shown President Joe Biden, 81, leading Donald Trump, 77, by a few points with just seven months left until the 2020 showdown.
Despite this slight boost in recent head-to-head matchups with Trump, the president is losing ground among black voters in swing states, which is a critical demographic for voting in the 2024 election and could be detrimental to the chances. of Biden’s re-election.
A Wall Street Journal survey Taken earlier this month reveals that registered Black voters in six of the seven swing states considered would vote for former President Trump and not Biden if the election were held today.
In Wisconsin, one of the swing states in the poll, the two geriatric candidates were tied.
Meanwhile, several polls conducted in April show Biden tied or leading Trump by between one and four percentage points.
A new poll on April’s presidential election shows President Joe Biden slightly ahead of Donald Trump with just seven months until the November showdown.
But the separate polls spell trouble for Biden in his 2024 reelection bid, as Black voters in six of seven swing states favor Trump over the incumbent president. Pictured: Members of Blacks for Trump demonstrate outside the Fulton County Jail in Atlanta, Georgia, in August 2023, to support the president as he arrived to turn himself in and have his mugshot taken.
The results of all General Election Polls Tracked by FiveThirtyEight Average in April they are within their respective margins of error.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted April 4-8 among 833 registered voters showed the largest gap with Biden leading by 4 points: 41 percent to 37 percent.
Two separate national polls have the two candidates tied at 43 percent, but a third poll by TIPP Insights has them tied at 38 percent when third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are considered.
The same TIPP Insights poll conducted April 3-5 shows Biden ahead of Trump by 3 percentage points (40-43 percent), when the former president and the current president are the only two considered in the survey among 1,265 voters registered.
A Morning Consult poll conducted April 5-7 among 6,236 registered voters (by far the largest sample) shows Trump ahead of Biden by 1 percentage point.
While national polls are important, regional polls in swing states are more indicative of how they could shape the 2024 election, with just seven states creating the determining factor that could decide the results in November.
Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are being watched closely heading into the 2024 presidential election.
While polls in battleground states often swing between Democratic and Republican candidates, a recent WSJ poll shows Biden losing strength among Black voters in these states.
North Carolina is where you see the biggest drop in this voting bloc, with 49 percent saying they would vote for Trump if the election were held today, compared to 43 percent who say they would vote for Biden.
April Wall Street Journal polls show Trump ahead among black voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, and tied with Biden in Wisconsin.
In Arizona, Trump leads by 5 percentage points among black voters and in Nevada by 4 percent.
The Journal’s poll’s margin of error is 4 percentage points, and 600 registered voters in each state were surveyed.
Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania are all within the 1 to 3 percent margin of error, but still show that black voters prefer Trump over Biden.
“I think winning back more black men is going to be key for him,” said Democratic pollster Michael Bocian, who conducted the WSJ poll, in analyzing Biden’s chances in 2024.
Wisconsin was the only swing state where Biden tied with Trump, and the president did not win majority favor among black voters in any of the seven in the survey.