The seven-day moving average of daily COVID-19 deaths fell below 1,000 for the first time in nearly five months on Wednesday, according to a DailyMail.com analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University.
It comes after the director of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Dr. Rochelle Walensky, said on Monday that she was ‘scared’ and had ‘a sense of impending doom’ while following the trends in COVID-19 cases and deaths. looked at.
After weeks of steady decline, these trends are leveling off. On Monday, the CDC’s figures showed that the new average daily coronavirus cases were up 10 percent from the previous week, and the number of deaths hovered around 1,000 per day.
Although the average number of deaths fell on Wednesday, the US recorded a further 1,076 deaths on Wednesday – an increase from the previous five days.
The discrepancies in the U.S. Covid numbers reflect greater tension in the U.S. fight against the virus: Vaccinations are speeding up and the weather is warming up, prompting states to relax restrictions, but herd immunity is months away and coming more contagious variants, fueling the spread of the coronavirus.
If the US is in a race between vaccines and variants, the data suggests it’s neck and neck.
The seven-day moving average of daily COVID-19 deaths fell below 1,000 for the first time in nearly five months on Wednesday
The seven-day rolling average of new cases has fallen to about 64,500, but more than 67,000 new infections were recorded on Wednesday
CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky warned she had a sense of “ impending doom ” when looking at the trends in Covid cases and deaths, but the average number of fatalities has dropped
The US saw more than 67,000 new COVID-19 cases on Thursday, up from 61,240 the day before.
That’s slightly more new infections than the seven-day rolling average of 64,514 cases per day, but a 23 percent drop from the number of new positive tests reported the previous Wednesday.
The number of deaths in the US has declined rapidly in the past three months, but the CDC now predicts that “ the number of deaths will remain stable or show an uncertain trend over the next four weeks. ”
The latest models, released Wednesday, predict that 3,100 to 10,200 Americans will die during the week ending April 24.
By then the total death toll could reach 585,000, the latest model warns.
According to data from Johns Hopkins University, 6,722 new deaths have occurred in the past week.
The CDC predicts eight states or territories will continue to see declining death rates, but says future trends in fatalities in the vast majority of states are uncertain.
CDC’s latest models, released Wednesday, predict that 3,100 to 10,200 Americans will die during the week ending April 24
To date, more than 552,000 Americans have died from COVID-19.
More than 30 million people have been infected with the coronavirus and tested positive, although the actual number of cases is likely to be much higher.
The COVID-19 pandemic pushed the total US death toll above 3.3 million last year, the country’s highest annual death toll, according to a CDC report Wednesday.
Coronavirus caused approximately 375,000 deaths and was the third leading cause of death in 2020, after heart disease and cancer.
COVID-19 deaths in the US are now more than 550,000 since the start of the pandemic.
The disease has replaced suicide as one of the top 10 causes of death, the report said.
The data should once again serve as a catalyst for each of us to do our part to reduce cases and reduce the spread of COVID-19 and get people vaccinated as soon as possible, ” said CDC director Dr. Rochelle Walensky Wednesday.
The death toll in the US is on the rise most years, but last year’s death rate was nearly 16% higher than the year before. That’s the biggest leap in a year since 1918, when the deaths of American soldiers in World War I and the flu pandemic pushed the death toll by 46% compared to 1917.
Mortality rates were generally highest among black people and among the Native Americans and the indigenous people of Alaska last year. The death rate from COVID-19 was highest among Hispanic people.
“Unfortunately, based on the current state of the pandemic, these effects have continued into 2021, where we continue to see communities of color account for an outsized portion of these deaths,” Walensky said.
Preliminary data in December suggested that 2020 was going to be a particularly deadly year, and the CDC’s new report showed it was even worse than expected. The new figures are still considered preliminary and are based on an analysis of death certificates.
With tens of millions of Americans already infected and the vaccination campaign accelerating, the worst should be behind the US, despite the dire toll that 2020 took.
All three vaccines approved in the US are nearly 100 percent effective against serious illness and death from COVID-19.
And good news keeps coming in about the protections they provide.
On Thursday, Pfizer released data showing that the two-dose vaccine is 91 percent effective against symptomatic infection and provides protection for at least six months.
The injection was also 100 percent effective in a small study of 800 people in South Africa, where a variant that scientists feared would evade vaccine immunity is now dominant.
Separate tests have shown that the shot also works against the Brazilian variant.
And Pfizer reported that the study participants were protected for at least six months – twice as long as it could say of its vaccine at the time of FDA approval in December.
Nearly 30 percent of Americans have had one or more doses of COVID-19 vaccines, and 16.4 percent of the population has been fully vaccinated.
With 2.8 million injections per day, according to Bloomberg data, all but one U.S. states (Wyoming) have opened access to vaccines or announced plans to extend that access to all adults ahead of President’s May 1 deadline Biden.
Many of those states have moved to new levels of reopening in conjunction with their vaccine expansions.
Eight states – North Dakota, Wyoming, Florida, Texas, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Iowa, Montana, and Arkansas – have almost all dropped their restrictions to slow the spread of the coronavirus.
But according to DataUSA.io, at least Iowa, Wyoming and North Dakota are still in the midst of the rise of new Covid cases in the past two weeks.
In fact, North Dakota has seen the second-fastest rise in the number of new infections in the country in the past 14 days.
It joins New York, New Jersey and Michigan with an increase of more than 40 percent in new infections.
Michigan tops the charts, with cases up nearly 70 percent in the past two weeks.
North Dakota has dropped virtually all restrictions, including masking requirements, while Michigan, New Jersey and New York have increased indoor dining capacity limits to 50 percent (up from 25 percent).
Public health experts are calling these steps toward reopening “ premature, ” and as more states make similar changes, new Covid cases are likely to increase, followed by hospitalizations and deaths.
Vaccinations could hold back that trend – but Bloomberg’s calculator estimates that the US is free of herd immunity for at least four more months.