Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is siphoning off 9 percent of voters who voted for Democratic President Joe Biden in 2020, according to an exclusive new poll from DailyMail.com.
Overall, the DailyMail.com/JL Partners March national poll shows Biden trailing former President Donald Trump by four points (39 percent to 43 percent), with Kennedy absorbing 7 percent of the general election vote of 2024.
Among third-party candidates, Kennedy has the biggest impact in the race, with Cornel West and Jill Stein receiving the support of 2 percent and 1 percent of the electorate, respectively.
And it currently hurts Biden the most, as only 5 percent of Trump’s 2020 supporters lean toward the prominent anti-vaxxer, allowing the presumptive Republican nominee to maintain a lead over the incumbent president.
Of his 2020 voters, Biden only retains 73 percent, according to the DailyMail.com poll.
More President Joe Biden voters in 2020 have leaned toward independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. than those who supported former President Donald Trump four years ago, March national poll found DailyMail.com/JL Partners
President Joe Biden is losing 9 percent of his 2020 voters to independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an exclusive new DailyMail.com poll shows, as well as 3 percent to Cornel West and 1 percent before Jill Stein. Another 4 percent turn to Trump
While 9 percent go toward Kennedy, another 4 percent lean toward Trump.
West, a civil rights leader who endorsed progressive Sen. Bernie Sanders in the 2020 race, takes 3 percent from the incumbent president, while the Green Party’s Stein takes 1 percent.
It is known that the liberal Stein won enough votes in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin in 2016 to flip those three traditionally Democratic states in favor of Trump during that election cycle against Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Biden was able to get all three states back in his column when he beat Trump in the 2020 race.
As of now, Trump’s 2020 coalition is less fractured, according to the DailyMail.com/JL Partners poll.
Of those who supported the Republican four years ago, 86 percent said they would support him in his second reelection bid.
Kennedy takes 5 percent of Trump’s 2020 votes, while Biden receives 1 percent.
Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (right) announced his vice presidential pick, Bay Area businesswoman and attorney Nicole Shanahan (left) during a rally Tuesday in Oakland, California.
Former President Donald Trump’s 2020 coalition is holding together more than Biden’s, with the former president retaining 86 percent of its votes. Still, Kennedy is swallowing 5 percent, the DailyMail.com poll shows.
West polls at 0 percent, while Stein absorbs 2 percent of Trump voters.
“RFK Jr. matters because there are increasing signs that he will appear on enough state ballots to be a genuine choice for voters,” said pollster James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners. “Even if he achieves the same as in our poll (less than 10 percent), it would be one of the best independent/third-party results in recent memory.”
“Right now, RFK Jr. is getting more votes from Biden than Trump,” Johnson continued. “He does particularly well among female voters, younger voters and black voters, all demographic groups where Biden performs better overall.”
JL Partners surveyed 1,000 potential voters from March 20 to 24 via landline, mobile, SMS and apps.
The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.
On Tuesday from Oakland, California, RFK Jr. announced that Nicole Shanahan would be his running mate.
The 38-year-old Bay Area lawyer, technologist, entrepreneur and foundation director is the ex-wife of Google co-founder Sergey Brin, the 10th richest man in the world, and has already invested $4.5 million in Kennedy’s Super Bowl commercial.
The DailyMail.com/JL Partners March national poll shows Biden trailing Trump by 4 points nationally, with independent candidate Kennedy gaining a 3-point gain since the poll was conducted in December.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (center right) and his wife, actress Cheryl Hines (right), onstage in Oakland on Tuesday with his new running mate Nicole Shanahan (center left) and running mate Jacob Strumwasser (left).
She is expected to help fund the effort to get Kennedy or her affiliate party We The People on the ballot in states across the country.
That has already been a challenge.
In Nevada, for example, the more than 15,000 signatures collected on Kennedy’s behalf to place the independent on the general election ballot may be void due to the fact that he needed Shanahan to be named in his declaration of candidacy.
The Nevada Secretary of State’s office admitted that the Kennedy campaign had received misinformation, although it added the caveat that “Nevada courts have been clear that the agency is not permitted to honor the employee’s statements if it follows those statements.” statements would be in conflict with the law.” .’
The Kennedy campaign did not believe the attempts to discard the signatures were a mistake, and Kennedy’s callot access attorney, Paul Rossi, called the effort “the epitome of corruption.”
“After successfully collecting all the signatures we need in Nevada, the DNC Goon Squad and their lackeys in the Nevada Secretary of State’s office are inventing a new petition requirement with no legal basis,” Rossi said.
Kennedy’s spokesman confirmed to DailyMail.com on Tuesday in Oakland that the campaign would sue the state to have the signatures collected counted.