It is a classic of political advertising: a red phone rings at three in the morning in the White House.
Who do you want to answer you?
Not Joe Biden, it’s the result of an exclusive new poll, which found that Donald Trump, 77, is trusted more to deal with a nuclear crisis or handle an hour-long summit with Russian strongman Vladimir Putin than his 81 year old president. former successor.
The 2024 elections pit the two oldest candidates in history against one another.
Both have a history of botched names, misremembering key details, and confusing lines of speech.
In our exclusive poll, former President Donald Trump fares better than Joe Biden in a series of questions about who can best handle the rigors of office, from handling a nuclear emergency to getting through an hour-long meeting with Vladimir Putin.
Whoever is sworn in next January will take office at a time of intense global uncertainty. This brochure from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows artillery equipment and FPV attack drones of the 13th BARS detachment of the Russian Southern Group of Forces attacking the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Artemovsk direction.
Barring some sort of calamity, however, one or the other will be sworn in for a second term as commander in chief at a time of intense geopolitical uncertainty.
US intelligence agencies recently warned of an “increasingly fragile global order as Russia and China jockey for position against a backdrop of regional conflicts, economic tensions and accelerating use of artificial intelligence.”
Brett Bruen, president of the Global Situation Room and a former US diplomat, said the state of the world in 2024 meant voters would want to elect a cool head.
“The likelihood that we will be involved in a major conflict is greater now, possibly, than at any time since the fall of the Berlin Wall, and the scenarios in which a commander-in-chief will be called upon to make split-second decisions are “It’s higher now than at any other time in the last few decades,” he said.
To test confidence in each of the two candidates, JL Partners surveyed 1,005 likely voters on how they thought Biden and Trump would handle everything from national security crises to simply remembering aides’ names.
The results do not make encouraging reading for either candidate, but they are particularly bleak for the man already in the job.
While about 56 percent of respondents said they had confidence in Trump to make “decisions and be fully alert during a nuclear emergency,” only 45 percent said the same of Biden.
Nearly two-thirds said they were confident Trump would make it through an hour-long meeting with Russian strongman Vladimir Putin, but only 43 percent thought Biden could pull it off.
Trump, respondents said, was much more likely to remember the names of his key staff, beating Biden by 15 points.
About 65 percent of respondents said they believed Trump would make it through an hour-long meeting with Russian strongman Putin (seen here visiting a Russian Defense Ministry facility in the city of Torzhok), while only 43 percent percent said the same about Biden.
Overall, the results show that Donald Trump maintains his four-point lead over Joe Biden, with just over seven months left until the November 5 presidential election.
And Biden was seen as less likely to even remember a world leader’s name while speaking to them (Trump beat him 59 percent to 46) and less likely to be able to adequately digest the content of his daily national security briefings.
The results are skewed by partisan leanings. But the differences are even more pronounced among independent voters.
Only 37 percent of independents believe Biden could get through an hour-long meeting with Putin, for example.
It demonstrates the challenge facing the oldest president in history as he seeks to convince voters that he has the physical and intellectual stamina to lead the country for another four years.
James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners, which conducted the survey, said age is not so much a number as it is a perception of voters.
“Although Trump is only three years younger than Biden, they believe he is up to the task and will be able to handle the pressures of the office,” he said.
‘A lot of this is due to Trump’s presentation, his frenetic activity and his regular speeches. It also builds on his political reputation for strength: Voters say strength is Trump’s greatest asset, and that he is physically stronger and more capable of getting things done than Biden.
“All of that is coming together and crystallizing in voters’ minds as something relatively positive about Trump.”
Houthi supporters in Yemen. They are one of the examples of how the crisis in Gaza has the potential to disrupt security around the world. The winner of the 2024 election will have a plate full of conflicts that could escalate quickly and without warning.
US intelligence agencies this month warned the country that it faces threats from an “increasingly fragile world order”, as Russia and China jockey for position against a backdrop of regional conflicts, economic tensions and accelerating artificial intelligence. Seen here, the Russian frigate of the Black Sea Fleet from the Black Sea launches a Caliber cruise missile
JL Partners surveyed 1,000 potential voters from March 20 to 24 via landline, mobile, SMS and apps. The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.
They may be concerned about your style and demeanor, but they don’t doubt your ability to handle the rigors of the position.
The winner of the election will have a full inbox.
The war in Ukraine continues with no end in sight. Russia has detained American citizens to use them as bargaining chips.
The crisis at the southern border has become a permanent feature, raising concerns about threats to national security.
China is pursuing expansionist policies in the Indo-Pacific region, making Taiwan increasingly fearful of invasion.
The Hamas attack on Israel and the Israeli response have reinvigorated Iran-backed proxies across the Middle East.
MARCH 26: Smoke rises after Israeli strikes in Rafah, Gaza, on March 26.
“An ambitious but anxious China, a confrontational Russia, some regional powers, such as Iran, and more capable non-state actors are challenging long-standing rules of the international system, as well as the primacy of the United States within it,” the agencies said. American espionage in its 2024 report. Annual threat assessment published earlier this month.
With two candidates aged 77 and 81, Bruen said voters should look not just at the abilities of the two men.
“Equally important are those they will surround themselves with, because ultimately, when it comes to someone older (and in Trump’s case, someone prone to rash action), it comes down to the national security advisor, the secretary of defense and the Secretary of State to guide him and keep him away from the abyss,” he said.
“Biden had shown caution about an apparent Chinese spy balloon floating around the country or Russian missiles falling into NATO territory,” he added.
“If it’s a decision between slow and stupid,” he said, “I’ll take it slow.”
