The number of unauthorized immigrants in the US increased from 1990 to 2007, reinforcing the perception among many voters that such immigration is unchecked. While the US has struggled to implement a comprehensive immigration reform, the issue remains a persistent concern.
As in Australia and elsewhere, inflation has escalated due to production and distribution bottlenecks following the COVID-19 lockdowns. Now Americans are facing the worst inflation in 40 years, which has undermined the message of economic reform Biden has been pursuing for the Democratic Party.
One of the biggest drivers of inflation is something politicians have little control over. The war in Ukraine had pushed up gasoline prices, while the OPEC+ cartel actually cut oil production, pushing prices up at the bow.
What began decades ago as the creeping mistrust between the parties has become a perceptible feature of American political society. Fueled by social media, the rise of Donald Trump and an escalating culture war, this hyperpolarization has shaped voters’ views in the run-up to the election.
The attack on US President Nancy Pelosi’s husband, less than two weeks after midterm exams, has… heightened fears to a wave of political violence in its aftermath.
Since the US has no compulsory voting rights, elections are not just about who gets the most votes, but also how many citizens register to participate and turn up. With inflation rising rapidly and the availability of affordable living dwindling, the economy has emerged as a key driver of voter behavior. Other problems are by no means ignored. The Supreme Court ruling of June 24 to overturn Roe v Wade ruling on abortion shocked the registration of voters likely to pull the lever against Republicans. Democrats can get a boost from these voters.
The most recent statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Justice suggest that violent crime as a whole did not increase between 2020 and 2021, but the homicide rate did increase during the pandemic. But like so many political issues, perception is everything and voters fear violent crime. Pew Research shows that 73 percent of Republican and right-wing registered voters say violent crime is important to their vote, while only 49 percent of Democratic or left-wing registered voters believe the same. The chart of entries below corresponds to these left-right split views.
However, the midterm elections are underway this year, and there is no shortage of conflicting forces pushing the American voters.