Trump rallies on the evening of midterm referendum on his presidency

With the help of Air Force One as campaign shuttle, US President Donald Trump went to Ohio, Indiana and Missouri on Monday, the eve of midterm balloting that is seen as the biggest referendum ever on his presidency.

Trump acknowledges so much earlier in the day on a conference call with supporters, says the media sees Tuesday's elections as a referendum about him.

"If we do not have a good day, they'll make it like it's the end of the world," Trump said. "Do not worry, if we have a good day, they will not give us credit."

There were 200,000 people who listened to the call, according to Brad Parscale, the campaign manager at Trump / Pence.

"There is a lot of electricity in the air," Trump said just before boarding Air Force One for the flight to Ohio. "I think we are doing very well."

FILE – President Donald Trump recognizes the crowd as he leaves a meeting in Chattanooga, Tenn., November 4, 2018.

He spoke in Cleveland – where he labeled candidates of the Democratic Party as "socialists" – Trump told the crowd that Tuesday is their chance "to send a message to the Democrat" and "stop the radical resistance on his tracks."

The president, who himself is not eligible for re-election until 2020, has campaigned intensively in recent weeks on behalf of Republican candidates in an effort to preserve the party's control over Congress.

"It's really unprecedented," said political science professor David Cohen at the University of Akron in Ohio. "No president has ever campaigned so much in the meantime as Trump."

Cohen told VOA that Trump's strategy is unwise.

"His controversial remarks – all it does is provide the basis for the Democrats and the independents of energy to get out of there and vote against him," Cohen said.

Others see the Trump events – where Air Force One serves as a backdrop for performances in airport hangars – of great value to the ruling party.

"The kind of people that come to them are not typical Republicans, they are Trumpsters." Winning that segment of voters in 2016 was crucial to Trump's victory in 2016 and having them voted in 2018 can only help the Republicans, "he said University of New Hampshire politics professor Andrew Smith.

"During the mid-term elections it is all about different attendances," Smith, who is also director of the UNH Survey Center, told VOA. "Democrats are motivated to vote since Trump won in 2016, while the Republicans were much less motivated." Every time Trump goes somewhere, he gives media attention and is therefore leading the news cycle. "

Obama performances

Trump has received some media attention from his predecessor, Barack Obama, in recent days.

Former President Barack Obama smiles as he greets Democratic volunteers in a surprise appearance at Fairfax Station, Va., November 5, 2018.

Former President Barack Obama smiles as he greets Democratic volunteers in a surprise appearance at Fairfax Station, Va., November 5, 2018.

The two-fold Democrat is campaigning on behalf of state and congressional candidates, a break with the tradition of former presidents rarely active in midterm elections so soon after their term of office.

President George W. Bush has been largely absent from all politics, just like his father and Bill Clinton waited some time after he left office before he left the campaign path. And when he did, he had it additional benefit that he are the woman's campaign, "Smith noted. "Obama's barnstorming is something we have not seen, and I think it is an indication that he is taking the presidency of Trump as a rejection of his own performance as president."

In the north of Virginia, Obama said on Monday, "how we behave in public life is on the ballot," a mildly veiled critique of Trump and a number of prominent Republican candidates.

"What I see everywhere in the country is this great awakening," added Obama, alongside the incumbent Senator Tim Kaine and Jennifer Becker's nominee from Congress at a campaign office. "In that great awakening, I feel hopeful."

predictions

Prominent opinion polls predict that Republicans will retain control of the Senate. Although warning for some major conference games are statistical dead heats, pollsters are finding more home districts that tend to the Democrats in recent days and expect the Republicans to lose their majority in that room.

Such a result would stop the President's ability to get important legislation approved, and put the parliamentary parties of the committees in the hands of the Democrats, certainly to conduct a series of investigations into the Trump administration. start.

Although Obama deserves part of the merit to stimulate the rise of the Democrats, according to Cohen, "it would be a bad election, because the president simply relied on his unpopularity throughout the country."

So, if the Republicans lose control of the House on Tuesday, Cohen asserts, "the debt should fall squarely on Trump's shoulders."

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