Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in five of six key battleground states according to new polls, as the Democrat has lost support among young and nonwhite voters who formed his winning coalition four years ago.
On Monday, Published The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer the latest set of battleground polls, and the numbers are virtually unchanged since the last set of polls were released in November. Biden didn’t get a boost from the 25 percent stock market rally or from the ads his campaign has run in the six key states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
At the same time, polls found that Trump has not been harmed politically by the Stormy Daniels money trial.
Instead, Biden is trailing Trump among registered voters by 12 points in Nevada and 10 points in Georgia, and losing to the Republican by smaller margins in Michigan, Arizona and Pennsylvania.
Former President Donald Trump is defeating President Joe Biden in five of six battleground states, according to polls from the New York Times, Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College. Currently, Biden only has a lead in Wisconsin after winning all six states in 2020.
Former President Donald Trump appears at a rally in Wildwood, New Jersey, this weekend. The new poll found that he has devoured Biden’s support among young, Latino and Black voters, who make up the Democratic coalition that overtook Trump four years ago.
Biden leads Trump by two points in Wisconsin, which is within that poll’s plus or minus 4.5 percent margin of error.
In the smaller group of likely voters, Trump still leads Biden in five states: Biden is ahead of Trump in Michigan, but narrowly trails the former president in Wisconsin.
When third-party candidates are taken into account, independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins about 10 percent of the vote in the six swing states.
The other third-party candidates combined (independent Cornel West, Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Lars Mapstead) absorb about 3 percent.
In that scenario, Trump continues to win five of the six battleground states, and Trump and Biden are tied in Wisconsin.
Biden won all six battleground states in 2020, but would only need to win Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin to remain in the White House.
The president is in trouble because he has lost support among young, Latino and black voters.
Among age groups, President Joe Biden, 81, trails Trump in every category except voters 65 and older, polls show. Biden is essentially tied with Trump in the youth vote, ending decades of Democratic dominance with this group.
Pollsters found that Biden and Trump are essentially tied among 18- to 29-year-olds, upending decades of Democratic dominance of the youth vote.
Trump wins 46 percent of the youth vote, while Biden only gets 43 percent, according to polls in the six states, when the candidates go head-to-head.
The only age group in which Biden beats Trump is 65 and older, a group that Republicans have traditionally won.
Additionally, the two candidates are tied among Hispanics, as Trump’s team has, for years, tried to make inroads in the Latino community.
Biden wins 45 percent to Trump’s 42 percent.
Black voters support Trump by more than 20 percent — the highest level of support given to a Republican presidential candidate since the enactment of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the Times noted.
The poll found that in six states, 63 percent of black voters favor Biden, while 23 percent favor Trump.