A new poll shows Kamala Harris with a slight lead in so-called “blue wall” states with just four days left until the election, as there are new signs that Donald Trump could be losing support among one of the most vulnerable groups of voters. reliable.
The poll comes as both the vice president and Trump will campaign in “blue wall” states on Friday.
The Marist poll found Harris three points ahead of Trump in Michigan among likely voters, 51 percent to 48 percent.
The sample also leads in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by two points, with 50 percent to Trump’s 48 percent in each.
All three are within the margin of error. But if the vice president secures the three “blue wall” states, she will obtain the 270 electoral votes necessary to win the White House.
Vice President Kamala Harris appears to have a slight lead over former President Donald Trump in the three ‘blue wall’ states, according to a new poll.
In Michigan, Harris has built a six-point lead among independent voters, according to the poll. She leads Trump among independents 52 percent to 46 percent.
More than 2.3 million people have already voted in Michigan.
Among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, Harris has 63 percent. But Trump leads with 59 percent of those who have not yet voted.
Survey conducted from October 27 to 30
In Pennsylvania, the poll shows a dramatic 19-point gap among independent voters from the September survey, when Trump had a four-point lead.
He has Harris at 55 percent among independents, while Trump has 40 percent of his support. The vice president has a larger lead there than when Biden won the state in 2020.
More than 1.6 million people have already voted in the Keystone State.
Pennsylvania is the only battleground that does not have in-person early voting, so people must return ballots by mail or deliver them in person.
Among those who have already voted there, Harris leads with 63 percent.
Survey conducted from October 27 to 30
The poll comes as there are warning signs for Trump when it comes to seniors voting in the Keystone State.
More than 52 percent of those who have already cast their ballots are 65 or older, according to TargetSmart’s model.
But when it comes to those seniors, registered Democrats account for 58 percent of the votes cast, compared to just 35 percent for Republicans, even though both parties have roughly the same number of registered seniors, Politico reported.
Republicans expect more high-profile voters to show up on Election Day, and the poll found Trump has an advantage at 54 percent overall to Harris’ 44 percent when it comes to those who haven’t yet cast your vote.
But Harris’ big lead among seniors could already be a red flag for Trump who won the top vote despite losing the state in 2020, as the Republican Party has been encouraging more voters to participate in early voting this election season.
Survey conducted from October 27 to 30
Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, the vice president also has a six-point lead among independent voters, 51 percent to 45 percent.
The vice president also appears to have narrowed the gap with white voters to some extent. While Trump still leads among white voters by two points, it is a smaller margin than he had in 2020 against Biden and he still lost the state.
More than 1.2 million people have already voted in Wisconsin. Harris leads among those who have cast their ballots by fourteen points, 57 percent to 43 percent.
Both Harris and Trump will campaign in Wisconsin on Friday. Harris has a series of three rallies across the state.
Trump will end the day with a rally in Milwaukee after he also made a campaign stop in Michigan earlier in the day.
