A top Republican pollster has said he believes Kamala Harris will win the race for the White House based on the votes of young women.
Frank Luntz, a top Republican Party strategist, revealed Friday night that he expects her to win decisively in the upcoming election.
Speaking to CNN’s Anderson Cooper on his AC360 show, Luntz said if the group turns out in large numbers it will be “great news for Harris.”
Cooper asked him about polls showing Harris now leading Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Luntz said she was done looking at the polls, saying they were already determined and she needed to focus her attention on young women’s turnout and votes.
Speaking to CNN’s Anderson Cooper on his AC360 show, Luntz said if the group shows up in large numbers it will be “great news for Harris.”
With just a few days until the election, polls suggest that Trump will be displaced from the so-called “blue wall” states by Harris, as seen here in Wisconsin on Friday.
He said, “I don’t look at the polls as much anymore because that’s determined.” I don’t think there are more undecided people.
‘There are still people who are not committed, there are still persuadable people. But if you are undecided, you reject both candidates. You don’t like them. You’re not going to end up voting for them.
‘For me, I’m trying to figure out what the turnout is going to be. And the group I follow more than any other is young women.
‘If they come out to vote in significant numbers, if they represent a larger percentage of the total voting pool, then it will be great news for Harris. That can boost it.
He also said he is watching Hispanic voters closely, especially after a recent Trump rally at Madison Square Garden in which speakers made racist comments.
Luntz added: ‘The other group I’m watching, Latinos, has been a little confused by what happened at Madison Square Garden earlier this week.
‘But the Latino population is voting in large numbers in the western states, and that is critical in Arizona and Nevada. What they do could also be decisive.”
A few days before the elections, polls suggest that Trump will be surpassed by Harris from the so-called “blue wall” states.
Republican candidate and former President Donald Trump is seen here during a campaign stop in Wisconsin on Friday.
Voters fill out their ballots during in-person early voting at the Hamilton County Board of Elections, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024, in Cincinnati.
The Marist poll found Harris three points ahead of Trump in Michigan among likely voters, 51 percent to 48 percent.
The sample also leads in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by two points, with 50 percent to Trump’s 48 percent in each.
All three are within the margin of error. But if Harris secures the three “blue wall” states, she will gain the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House.
In Michigan, Harris has built a six-point lead among independent voters, according to the poll. She leads Trump among independents 52 percent to 46 percent.
More than 2.3 million people have already voted in Michigan.
Among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, Harris has 63 percent. But Trump leads with 59 percent of those who have not yet voted.
In Pennsylvania, the poll shows a dramatic 19-point gap among independent voters from the September survey, when Trump had a four-point lead.
He has Harris at 55 percent among independents, while Trump has 40 percent of his support.
The vice president has a bigger lead there than when Biden won the state in 2020. More than 1.6 million people have already voted in the Keystone State.
Pennsylvania is the only battleground that does not have in-person early voting, so people must return ballots by mail or deliver them in person.
Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, the vice president also has a six-point lead among independent voters, 51 percent to 45 percent.
Harris also appears to have closed the gap with white voters to some extent. While Trump still leads among white voters by two points, it is a smaller margin than he had in 2020 against Biden and he still lost the state.
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More than 1.2 million people have already voted in Wisconsin. Harris leads among those who have cast their ballots by fourteen points, 57 percent to 43 percent.
It comes after DailyMail.com’s final poll before Election Day showed Trump already ahead of Harris.
The former president now has a three-point lead over the incumbent vice president, with Trump gaining support from independents and undecided voters.
The new data, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, shows Trump trending upward, with support at 49 percent to Harris’ 46 percent.
