Nevada’s top election forecaster, Jon Ralston, predicted Monday that Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris would fail in the critical swing state.
Ralston is the executive editor and publisher of the Nevada Independent. and I wrote on Monday who believes the Democratic political machine built by the late Senator Harry Reid will succeed.
The Silver State is one of seven critical battlegrounds for either candidate to emerge victorious in Tuesday night’s presidential election.
Recent polls have shown Harris taking the lead in an otherwise deadlocked race. But Ralston believes the vice president has the state and its six Electoral College votes secured.
It is a prediction that resonated in the final hours of what could be one of the closest elections in history.
More than 78 million Americans have already voted and millions more will go to the polls on Tuesday to cast their ballots in a race seen as a coin toss.
Ralston said Democrats know which voters — even those who automatically registered with the state as “nonpartisan” — are “closet Democrats” and will take them to the polls in Nevada.
Nevada Independent editor Jon Ralston wrote Monday that he believed Vice President Kamala Harris would pull off a victory in the Silver State.
“It will be enough to overcome the Republican leadership, along with the women motivated by abortion and the crossed votes that this issue will also provoke,” he said.
“I just have a feeling she’ll catch up here, but I also think – and please remember this – it won’t be clear who won here on election night, so block out the election denialism charlatans,” Ralston continued.
‘It’s going to be very, very close. Prediction: Harris, 48.5 percent; Trump 48.2 percent; Others and None of These Candidates, 3.3 percent,’ he wrote.
In a campaign call Monday, Harris campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon predicted that there will be a lot of tension in the swing state – one of seven close races that are key to victory for both Harris and Trump. and also raised expectations that the winner may not be known on election day.
The campaign also predicted that Nevada may be one of the slowest states to get results, as voters can still mail in their ballots until 7 p.m. local time on Election Day.
On Friday, the last day of early voting in Nevada, at an early voting site near Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas, DailyMail.com found that only voters voted for former President Donald Trump.
Those trends match what Ralston said: that early in-person voting in Nevada is skewing Republican, while Democrats continue to feel more comfortable sending their ballots by mail.
Tens of thousands of mail-in ballots are expected to arrive on or after Election Day.
Those DailyMail.com spoke to who voted early skewed toward men and said they were betting that Trump would improve the economy and better regulate illegal immigration.
Vice President Kamala Harris (right) campaigned in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Thursday with Jennifer Lopez (left).
Former President Donald Trump dances on stage at a campaign rally Monday in Reading, Pennsylvania. Nevada is considered one of seven battleground states in this year’s presidential election.
“I voted for Trump,” said Oscar Carboni, 60, of Las Vegas, who works in trading markets. “Well, you know, I think just like presidents, they come and go, and things don’t really matter much except that someone, I think, has to reduce the number of people crossing the border.”
“Otherwise, the issues are not so important, I would have voted for either side,” Carboni added.
Larry Braden, 56, of Las Vegas, says he moved from Southern California since the 2020 election and was excited to vote for Trump in the swing state.
“He obviously understands business, national security and economics, like inflation conditions and how to combat them and make deals and make things work and happen,” CFO Braden told DailyMail.com.
Both candidates have demonstrated in Nevada in the final stretch of the campaign, and both are trying to shore up the large Hispanic population.
When America wakes up tomorrow morning, the wait for the results will begin.
JD Vance told DailyMail.com on Trump Force Two that he believes a winner could be declared Tuesday night.
“I firmly believe that we are in a good situation, that we are going to win,” he told DailyMail.com aboard his plane while flying between campaign stops.
‘I think we’ll find out on Tuesday night. Maybe I’m wrong about that, but you never know until you know.
With the race between Trump and Harris still very close, pollsters have indicated that a final result could take days, or even weeks, to be counted.
If any of the seven battlegrounds are close, the counting of mail-in ballots could extend to Nov. 6 and beyond. In 2020, the race was officially called for Joe Biden four days later.
And although Trump only leads Harris by 0.1 percent nationally according to polling averages, he has captured a strong 12-point lead in betting markets, giving him momentum heading into Election Day. .
Vance is on a four-state tour as he tries to close out the 2024 race by persuading voters to come out on Election Day.