Categories: Australia

Top jockey Libby Hopwood reveals her must-know tips for Melbourne Cup bettors Flemington

A guide to the $3 million Melbourne Cup in 2022, which will be run over 3200 meters at the famous Flemington Racecourse.

Order of entry – horse – barrier – weight – odds – jockey

1: Golden Journey (14) – 57.5 kg – $15 – Mark Zahra

Finished second in the Caulfield Cup, likes wet soil. In the mix but totally unknown at this distance.

2: Duais (10) – 55.5 kg – $26 – Hugh Bowman

Has been in bad shape this spring. Can she recapture the highlights of her fall campaign and win the Australian Cup and Tancred Stakes? Unsure.

3: Knighthood (23) – 55.5 kg – $17 – Tim Clark

Horror show in last year’s Melbourne Cup and not delivering its best on this track. Likes to stick out of the ground and is in better shape this time.

4: Montefilia (11) – 55.5kg – $11 – Jason Collett

Built up well for this race and delivered a standout run in the Caulfield Cup. Can win.

Montefilia, pictured winning the Ranvet Stakes in March, was in good form for the Melbourne Cup

5: Numerian (7) – 55.5 kg – $61 – Tommy Berry

From Annabel Neasham’s stable, but don’t think the gelding will make the 3200m journey here. Pass.

6: Non-Combat (18) – 55.5 kg – $11 – William Buick

Tough stayer who will not be happy with the barrier. Always in and will grind the distance but just need to find a run. In the.

7: Camorra (17) – 55kg – $51 – Ben Melham

Was absolutely shocking last start in Group 1 over 2816m in Ireland. Wish the spur leg was dry, and it won’t be. No thank you.

8: Deauville Legend (9) – 55kg – $3.40 – Kerrin McEvoy

The lightly played gelding is absolutely flying and now stands almost invincible. McEvoy has won this race three times and is gearing up for his fourth.

9: Stockman (2) – 54 kg – $31 – Sam Clipperton

Can sneak into a place, provided it is not shuffled back too early. Has flippers, which will help, but seems to be outclassed.

10: Vow and Declaration (4) – 54 kg – $26 – Blake Shinn

The 2019 winner is again a few years older, but after a flat shape, this peaks very nicely.

11: Young Werther (20) – 54kg – $34 – Damian Lane

Keeps finding ways to lose despite obvious class. Maybe secretly in the top five, but can’t imagine him winning.

Related Post

Deauville Legend heavily backed to win Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup

12: Hoo Ya Mal (15) – 53.5kg – $15 – Craig Williams

Won’t appreciate the wet conditions and was absolutely crushed on the last start in England. Can win, but lacks confidence.

13: Serpentine (22) – 53.5 kg – $71 – John Allen

Lloyd Williams’ lone runner in the race, the gelding may be looking for the lead, but he won’t be the first past the post. No chance.

14: Daqiansweet Junior (13) – 53 kg – $51 – Daniel Moor

Has next to nothing for him here apart from the weight. Would not invest.

15: Grand Promenade (1) – 53 kg – $81 – Harry Coffey

Was bad in last year’s cup and hasn’t gotten better since. I’d be surprised if he comes near them.

16: Arapaho (19) – 52.5kg – $81 – Rachel King

Great odds, but don’t mind the generous price. Every year there is a surprise and imagine that he will enjoy the soft ground. Place?

17: Envoy (3) – 51.5 kg – $34 – Pat Maloney

Earned his entry with a surprise Geelong Cup win and lose 4.5kg from that race. Wouldn’t shock.

19: Smoking Romans (16) – 51.5 kg – $16 – Jamie Kah

Definitely flying this spring and getting the services of one of the best jockeys in the country. Comes in the finish for a great price.

Champion jockey Jamie Kah will ride Smokin’ Romans, and both horse and rider are in sizzling form

20: Tralee Rose (21) – 51.5kg – $71 – Dean Yendall

9th in last year’s cup, but has since struggled with injuries. Is in better shape than that run and is pleasing to the eye. Wouldn’t shock.

22: High Emocean (8) – 50kg – $51 – Teo Nugent

Cracking ride won her the Bendigo Cup, but she seems to be outclassed in this area. Place.

23: Interpretation (6) – 50 kg – $41 – Craig Newitt

Lots of hype when he arrived in Australia but so far he has disappointed. Nice weight and can handle the distance but was the ordinary last start.

24: Realm of Flowers (5) – 50kg – $10 – Damian Thornton

Lightly raced lately, and has proven itself on this track and distance. With this weight, the gritty stayer will definitely be in this one.

All odds from TAB.com.au and correct as of October 31 at noon.

Jacky

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