The white working class in America is shrinking

The white working class in America is shrinking and will form a minority in 2034, indicating a decline in Trump's most enthusiastic voter base

  • The white working class of America reached the lowest (87.1 million people) in 2018
  • The number accounts for 40 percent of the total population of the country
  • In 1975, the white working class made up 70 percent of the population
  • Although it is still the largest group, researchers say it will be caught up in 2034
  • The fastest growing class is the non-white working class that is now the largest in the Western states
  • White working-class people still retain a comfortable majority in the Midwest
  • There President Trump (whose voters are predominantly white working class) directs his re-election campaign in 2020

The white working class in America is shrinking, suggesting a decrease in the size of Trump's most loyal fan base and the beginning of a slow decline until it becomes a minority.

According to research from the St. Louis Federal Reserve, the percentage of white people in the US without a university education – that's how they classify & # 39; working class & # 39; – dropped to 40 for the first time since 1975.

The reason for the decline is that a growing number of Americans are looking for university education and that some of the major causes of death – suicide, alcoholism and opioid overdoses – are the hardest hit by the working class.


A graph shows the decline of the white working class since 1975 from 70 percent of the country's total population to 40 percent. The working class of minorities, on the other hand, is steadily increasing, as is the middle class of minorities

The birth rate is also slowing in the group, leading to a 2.6 percent drop across the country. In 2018 it reached its smallest at 87.1 million people.

Although it is still the largest group, the researchers said that white working class will become a minority by 2034.

It is unclear which group will catch up with them.

According to the 2016 exit polls, white working-class workers accounted for nearly 66 percent of Trump's base, compared to 29 percent of Clinton. Previous research suggested an even higher percentage of 70 percent.

Trump also won the majority of the higher educated white votes, but it was by a smaller margin, 48 percent above the 45 percent of Clinton.

The researchers in St. Louis discovered that although the number of uneducated white American citizens decreased, whites with a university education grew just as demographically as black and Spanish workers.


What will become the largest group remains to be seen, but the fastest growing in most parts of the country is the non-white working class.

The research predicts a socio-economic scenario that will play out long after Trump leaves his office.

His last potential year as president, if he wins the 2020 elections, is 2024.

The researchers did not include any reference to politics in their essay, The Bigger They Are, The Harder They Fall: The Decline of the White Working Class.

The place where the white working class retains a comfortable majority is in the Midwest, where Trump is concentrating his re-election campaign.


It makes up more than 50 percent of the population.

The next most populated group is the white middle class.

Elsewhere, the Spanish or black working class is the fastest growing.

In the Western states, that group took over the white of the working class as the largest and now makes up just over 30 percent of the population.

A Trump 2020 rally in Wisconsin in April. The majority of its base are the white workers

A Trump 2020 rally in Wisconsin in April. The majority of its base are the white workers


A Trump 2020 rally in Wisconsin in April. The majority of its base are the white workers

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