Ukraine’s air force has warned that the country could lose its air superiority by May amid concerns about its ability to mount an effective spring counteroffensive.
Russia has so far struggled to control the skies, as Ukrainian anti-aircraft systems and fighter jets have kept Russian warplanes at bay since the first invasion.
It follows the leak of classified Pentagon documents last week, a shocking development that revealed that Ukraine could run out of S-300 AA missiles by May 2.
The report also revealed that US planners are skeptical about Ukraine’s ability to launch a counteroffensive this spring, which has been hit hard by “force generation and a lack of sustainability.”
Air Force spokesman Colonel Yuriy Ihnat warned that Russia might be able to move forward within weeks if Ukraine’s air defenses did not hold. times mentioned.
A Ukrainian Su-25 takes flight after an attack on Russian positions in the Donetsk region on May 10, 2022.
A Highly Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) of the Ukrainian military fires near a front line in the northern Kherson region, Ukraine, November 5, 2022.
He said: ‘If we lose the battle for our skies, the consequences will be dire. The Russians will crush every city like they did in Syria.
Our nuclear power plants will also be at risk. We will fight to protect our troops on the front lines.
At present, Buk and S-300 anti-aircraft missiles make up about 90 percent of Ukraine’s air defenses.
Soviet-era technology was complemented by Western-supplied HIMARS, a multiple launch missile system developed for the US Army in the 1990s.
The difficulty, Ihnat said, is how to restock only Russian-produced weapons. He said Slovakia had been able to supply some up to this point.
While Russian fighter jets remained highly effective against Ukrainian aircraft near the front lines, most of the VKS attacks came at the start of the invasion while Ukrainian ground air defenses were being suppressed.
Since March 2022, the VKS has not been able to operate effectively in Ukrainian airspace because air defenses are so widely deployed.
Since then, Russia has been limited to ballistic and ballistic missile barrages, which have been very expensive and have not been able to achieve any decisive effects by the end of 2023.
The ability to install and resupply Ukrainian surface-to-air missiles has been documented as one of Ukraine’s most pressing priorities in order to fend off Russian aggression.
After months of stalemate, the end of winter was expected to bring a new Russian offensive – but experts say the offensive ‘I stopped“.
Analysts then predicted that Ukraine would launch a decisive counterattack after eight months stuck in a war of attrition over Bakhmut.
Analyzes from this week show that Ukraine and Russia occupy positions to the east and south
Ukrainian soldiers fire artillery on the Marinka-Piesky front as the Russo-Ukrainian war continues, in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine April 16, 2023
Ukraine also seeks to sever Russia’s land connection to Crimea, which it has held since 2014, while exploiting vulnerabilities to win back disputed territories to the east.
But the leaked documents show material obstacles in achieving these goals.
Top secret US documents, leaked on social media and captured last week, warn of Ukraine’s difficulty in ‘building up force’ amid a shortage of newly trained troops and munitions.
Despite Western provisions for air defense, the documents indicate that Ukraine is “unable to match the Russian volume” of fire.
Residents collect minerals from a crashed fighter jet in Kharkiv region, Ukraine, April 8, 2023
The United States was the largest supporter of the Ukrainian war effort, followed by the European Union, the United Kingdom, Germany and Japan.
Congress has approved more than $113 billion in aid and military aid to support Ukraine and its allies since the war began in February of last year.
But the United States is getting bigger Divided over whether or not to continue sending money directly to Ukraine to support the war effort.