If 2016 was the education election, when voters were divided depending on whether or not they had attended college, then 2024 is shaping up to be a battle of the sexes.
The full extent of the gender divide in America is laid bare in the latest DailyMail.com/JL Partners.
It found that former President Donald Trump has widened his lead among men and now has a 22-point lead over his opponent among male voters.
At the same time, Vice President Kamala Harris has widened her lead among female voters and has a 14-point lead among women.
It is an extraordinary number in an otherwise close race.
JL Partners surveyed 1,000 likely voters. The results showed a marked gender gap
And the differences are clear in the language both sexes use to describe the candidates.
When women are asked for a one-word summary of Trump, the most common words are: corrupt, strong and crazy. The idiotic, arrogant and dangerous ones come later.
For men they are: Strong, corrupt and competent.
When men describe Harris, the most common words are: incompetent, liar, competent.
For women they are: strong, fake and competent.
The division was on display Thursday, when Harris attacked Trump for saying he would protect women whether they like it or not.
“It just doesn’t respect women’s freedom or women’s intelligence to know what’s best for their own interests and make decisions accordingly,” she said on stage in Phoenix, Arizona. “But we trust women.”
Trump has leaned toward divisiveness, focusing his attention on podcasts with overwhelmingly male audiences.
Harris supporter Mark Cuban stoked Republican anger during an appearance on The View.
When voters were asked for their one-word summary of Trump, the top terms were: corrupt, strong, crazy. The results are shown in the word cloud above.
Kamala Harris has the support of the majority of women. But is it enough to win?
Women have a more positive view of Harris, as seen in this word cloud.
‘Donald Trump: you never see him surrounded by strong and intelligent women. It’s that simple… They find them intimidating,” he said.
“He doesn’t like to be challenged.”
JL Partners surveyed 1,000 likely voters across the country to assess how the electorate broke down by gender.
It found that 59 percent of men said they would vote for Trump, compared to 37 percent who said they might put their cross next to Harris’ name.
Among women, 54 percent said they would vote for Harris and 40 percent for Trump.
The gap is the largest yet, as undecided voters made up their minds.
“These numbers show a huge gulf in political behavior between men and women,” said James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners, comparing it to 2016, when college-educated voters chose Hillary Clinton and non-college-educated voters chose Donald Trump. .
Trump has built on his appeal to young men, appearing on bro-friendly podcasts.
Harris’ campaign is betting on high female participation to take her to the White House
‘The gender gap was somewhat there in 2020: Men favored Trump by five points, while women backed Biden by 12 points. But Trump now leads by 22 points among men and Harris by 14 points among women.
‘I also hear it when I interview voters. I can’t count the number of times a man I interviewed has said his wife votes differently, or vice versa.’
The overall poll results show Trump leading Harris by three points, suggesting he could be on track to win the national popular vote.
Johnson said it might be tempting to see women as Harris’ secret weapon, fueled by the repeal of Roe v Wade and the abortion debate.
But when looking at these numbers, we can’t also ignore the fact that men have shifted toward Trump since 2020, actually to a greater extent than the shift toward Harris among women,” she said.
“To me, that means Trump could win this election regardless of losing women by double digits.
“Trump can reach the White House with these numbers, if he can pull them off.” If Trump’s male army goes to the polls, he will win the election regardless of how women vote.’
The survey was combined with a separate survey that probed attitudes, asking people if their attitude toward either candidate had changed and why.
Woman after woman detailed Trump’s behavior and use of language. Others pointed to what they said were vague plans for Social Security and cost-cutting.
“She keeps insulting everyone,” was one response from a 36-year-old caregiver in the swing state of Michigan, who did not vote in 2020 but plans to vote for Harris this year.
