It’s only seven days until the Melbourne Cup, and savvy gamblers are putting all their money down, taking the early value instead of waiting for race day odds.
The astute gambler can find the best value by propping up horses against their bloated early odds, before the favorite runners inevitably shorten on Tuesday.
With the biggest odds all having had their last run leading up to the big event, and the field nearing completion, the big money will be split among seven main contenders, reflecting the impressive depth of the field.
In market order, these are: Tiger Moth, Sir Dragonet, Anthony Van Dyck, Verry Elleegant, Surprise Baby, Russian Camelot and Prince of Arran.
Last year’s winning trainer Danny O’Brien believes the 2020 edition of the big race has more quality than any in his life.
‘I can’t remember a deeper Cup, especially one in which you have the English Derby winner, the Caulfield Cup winner and the Cox Plate winner all together,’ said O’Brien, who will likely have two horses in the field: the sought-after Russian Camelot and defending champion Vow and Declare.
Trainer Danny O’Brien is congratulated by his family on winning last year’s Melbourne Cup with locally bred stayer Vow and Declare, who return this year to defend the title.
That English Derby winner is Anthony Van Dyck, who gave the Australian public some indication of his quality when he threw the top weight of 58.5 kilograms in one pile to a fighting second place in the Caulfield Cup, a neck hit by Verry Elleegant.
Anthony Van Dyck is priced at a tantalizing $ 10 with Sportsbet to win the Melbourne Cup; the same award as Verry Elleegant, who won three of four Group 1 races this spring and gave trainer Chris Waller another mighty mare to replace his retired superstar Winx.
Verry Elleegant narrowly beat the English raider Anthony Van Dyck (No. 1) in the Caulfield Cup. Both horses are among the favorites for the Melbourne Cup on Tuesday.
Joining that pair for $ 10 is Surprise Baby, prepared by small-scale Horsham trainer Paul Preusker, who flew home in the Cup last year to be defeated under a length, and whose two runs this spring indicate he’ll be back next Tuesday will end hard again.
O’Brien’s Russian Camelot – placed in the lead in all four of his Group 1 races – is at $ 11 after being the favorite in the early markets for many months.
His position as a favorite has now been taken by Irish stayer Tiger Moth, who appreciates Sportsbet for the top of $ 6.50 despite having only raced four times in his life.
The third of those starts was second in the Irish Derby, while a four-length victory in Group Two just before flying to Australia resulted in the Aiden O’Brien-trained stallion being penalized 2.5kg in the handicap event . .
THE BEST SEVEN REVENUES FOR THE MELBOURNE CUP 2020
TIGER MOTH (IRE) Trainer: Aidan O’Brien, $ 6.50
SIR DRAGONET (IRE) Trainer: Ciaron Maher and David Eustace $ 7.00
SURPRISE BABY (NZ) Trainer: Paul Preusker $ 10.00
ANTHONY VAN DYCK (IRE) Trainer: Aidan O’Brien, $ 10.00
RUSSIAN CAMELOT (IRE) Trainer: Danny O’Brien $ 11.00
VERY ELLEEGANT (NZ) Trainer: Chris Waller $ 11.00
PRINCE OF ARRAN (GB) Trainer: Charlie Fellowes $ 13.00
One factor early gamblers should be aware of is that the international jockeys will not be showing up this year due to travel restrictions from Covid-19.
So ace Irish hoop Ryan Moore – who rode Protectionist to victory in the 2014 Cup – will give up his ride on Tiger Moth to Kerrin McEvoy, on the hunt for his fourth Melbourne Cup victory.
Another foreign substitute in Sir Dragonet is the second favorite when betting on $ 7 with Sportsbet after winning the Cox Plate in authoritative style last weekend.
His 51-year-old rider Glen Boss said Sir Dragonet will be ideally suited for the two miles of the cup, and no one is better placed to make that judgment, having ridden the last horse to double the Plate and Cup. won: the great Makybe Diva in 2005 when she completed a hat-trick of Melbourne Cup wins.
Veteran jockey Glen Boss is high on the irons as Sir Dragonet runs home for an impressive win in the Cox Plate. Boss, who rode Makybe Diva to three consecutive Melbourne Cup wins, says Sir Dragonet is perfectly suited to become the first horse since to do the Cox Plate-Melbourne Cup double.
For those who like tidy, consecutive patterns, England’s import Prince of Arran could be the best bet, having finished third in 2018 and second in 2019. His fourth place finish in the Caulfield Cup despite taking a good chunk of the race ran wide, was full. of merit.
Will Prince of Arran join folks like triple runner-up in the Red Cadeaux cup and double runner-up getter Persian Punch as the ‘almost’ entry into Melbourne Cup history or will female jockey Jamie Kah take him to a deserved victory?
Jamie Kah acknowledges applause after riding one of her four winners on Cox Plate Day. The female jockey was in brilliant form this spring and in the Melbourne Cup she rides the Prince of Arran, who has been third and second in the big race for the past two years.
The field will be final after two more races: the Bendigo Cup on Wednesday, in which six Cup hopefuls will try to make their way to the final field, and the Hotham Handicap at Flemington on Saturday, in which the winner is guaranteed a spot. the last field.
Plenty of local gallers are still hoping to make their way into Tuesday’s elite class, but it’s worth noting that the 2019 winner Vow and Declare is the only local to have even run a place in the cup in the last three years , and only two Australian-born horses have won it since the turn of the millennium.
Among the local contenders is last year’s winner of VRC Oaks, Miami Bound, at just 51kg, which rose to $ 34 in the market after taking an impressive win over the weekend.