The 2022 hurricane season is tracking behind the pace of those in 2020 and 2021, but it’s still early
Although it’s early in the Atlantic hurricane season of 2022, storm numbers are lagging behind the frenetic pace of 2021 and 2020.
But stay vigilant, forecasters say: The US is likely to see above-average activity.
By that time in 2020 and 2021, there were already four named storms in the Atlantic — right up to the “D” names. According to Alan Reppert, senior meteorologist at Accuweather, there has been one named storm this year. The hurricane season officially began on June 1 and ends on November 30.
This year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has predicted that 14 to 21 named storms will develop during the Atlantic hurricane season, including tropical storms and hurricanes. Of the hurricanes predicted, three to six could be major hurricanes, with winds starting at 111 mph.
Those estimates are lower than the final numbers for the 2021 and 2020 storm seasons: 2021 had 21 named storms and 2020 had a record 30 named storms, according to NOAA. The National Hurricane Center has run out of names for Atlantic storms for the past two years.
Estimates for 2022 and a relatively quiet start to this year’s season point to lower numbers than the past two years, but totals will likely still be above average, Reppert told US TODAY.
“While we may have more storms than an average season, we’re looking at less direct impacts on the US than in 2020 and 2021, but still about what would be an average year for the Atlantic basin,” Reppert said.
Meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center on Sunday looked at two areas of disrupted weather: a tropical wave trying to cross the tropical Atlantic toward the Windward Islands and a low-pressure area from southeast Louisiana across the northeast Gulf of Mexico and toward South Florida.
The former is unlikely to affect the US as it heads toward the Caribbean, but the latter has the potential to develop by mid-week and could lead to rain in parts of Texas, Reppert said.
This season’s one-named system in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Alex, brought heavy rainfall to South Florida and the Bahamas. In Cuba, the storm has killed three people, damaged dozens of homes and cut electricity in some areas.
As in any storm season, Reppert recommends residents in areas expected to be hit by hurricanes and tropical storms take a safer-than-sorry approach.
“It’s always best to be prepared for storms impacting somewhere, and to always have a game plan for what to do if a storm approaches the area or even forecast for several days,” he said.
NOAA 2022 hurricane forecast: Up to 21 named storms possible; as many as 10 hurricanes can arise
(c)2022 USA Today. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.
Quote: The 2022 hurricane season is lagging behind the pace of 2020 and 2021, but it is still early (2022, June 27) retrieved on June 27, 2022 from https://phys.org/news/2022-06-hurricane-season- tracking-tempo-early.html
This document is copyrighted. Other than fair dealing for personal study or research, nothing may be reproduced without written permission. The content is provided for informational purposes only.