Texas government Greg Abbott said he believes his state is “very close” to achieving herd immunity when it comes to coronavirus infections.
Abbott, a Republican, bases his reasoning on what he called ‘simple math’ and claims that this explains the recent drop in coronavirus cases in Lone Star state.
Abbott based his calculations by taking the number of people vaccinated and combining it with the number of people infected.
Texas Government Greg Abbott Believes State Is ‘Very Close’ To Herd Immunity Due To Decline In Deaths, Infections And Increase In The Number Of Vaccinated
“I don’t know what herd immunity is, but when you add that to the people who have acquired immunity, it looks like it could get really close to herd immunity,” he said.
Herd immunity is the point where enough of the population is immune that the virus can no longer spread easily.
The state is currently seeing about 3,452 new cases of the virus per day, with a similar number currently being hospitalized.
There are about 72 deaths per day from the disease in the state every day, but only 19 percent of Texas’s 29 million residents have been vaccinated to date, well below the supposed 70-90 percent requirement needed for immunity from the disease. herd.
Health officials in the state have confirmed more than 2.4 million infections and counted an additional 400,000 ‘probable’ virus cases, of which about 50,000 people have died.
‘We remain very vigilant and vigilant and proactive in our response, but there is simple math behind why we continue to be successful. Quite simply, the equation means that it is a lot more difficult for covid-19 to spread to other people in the state of Texas. ‘
Fans join the wave as they watch the Toronto Blue Jays play the Texas Rangers in a baseball game in Arlington, Texas as life returns to a ‘new normal’
The number of cases in Texas has been slowly rising recently, but is on a downward trend
The number of deaths has continued to decline steadily over the past few months at about 72 deaths per day
Just over 19 percent of the Texas population is vaccinated, but the figure is well below the level believed to be necessary for herd immunity
Medical experts say that while immunity to vaccinations from previous infections could have contributed to the decline in cases after the winter rise, the number does not match the immunity of the herd.
The official number of people who have survived an infection in Texas is approximately 2.77 million. This figure combined with the number of vaccinated equates to about 5.5 million, which gives about 8.27 million people some form of immunity – about 29 percent of the state population, according to data collected by the Washington Post.
More than 70 percent of seniors in Texas received at least one dose of a vaccine, and more than 50 percent of those between the ages of 50 and 65 had also received one.
The problem with such calculations is that scientists don’t know the exact point at which herd immunity will start, but think it is somewhere between 70 and 90 percent.
Precautions are still being taken in some parts of Texas. Here congregation members are depicted in socially detached “pods” during an outside church service in Dallas, Texas
Dr. Anthony Fauci, the country’s top infectious disease physician, put the figure somewhere between 80 and 85 percent.
‘It depends on the efficacy and duration of immunity obtained through infection or vaccination, whether we have low immunity in our communities and whether there are emerging variants that can bypass immunity,’ says Lauren Ancel Meyers, professor of biology. the University of Texas at Austin.
She believes that “a lot of misinformation and misunderstanding” surrounds the herd’s immunity with various factors that can play a role in influencing it.
The encouraging data from Texas also contributed to the governor’s theory.
In the month since Abbott lifted the state’s mask mandate, the daily average of newly reported cases has dropped from 4,700 to about 3,500.
But experts are calling for a more measured approach, as variants of the virus have broken out in Michigan and Minnesota, leading to an increase in the number of cases.
“ There is no way in God’s green earth that Texas is even close to herd immunity, ” Michael Osterholm, an epidemiologist and director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, told the New York Times.
Look no further than Michigan and Minnesota, which have many more vaccinations than Texas. And we are already seeing widespread transmission. These variants are game changers. They are real. It is truly remarkable. ‘