Former President Donald Trump has a five-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Texas, and early voting in the state will begin in less than a week. But the Senate race in the Lone Star State could be very close.
The former president receives 51 percent of the vote to Harris’ 46 percent among likely Texas voters, according to the survey conducted by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston.
Another one percent of likely voters support other candidates, while two percent are still undecided.
But when it comes to the Texas Senate race, Republican Senator Ted Cruz faces a formidable rival: Democratic Congressman Colin Allred as a Republican. They consider keeping the seat crucial as they seek to flip the Senate in November.
The latest poll shows Cruz leading Allred by four points in the crucial Texas Senate race.
The new poll shows Cruz with 50 percent of the vote, while Allred gets 46 percent, just a four-point difference. And three percent of voters in the race are still undecided.
Cruz leads Allred by double digits among men, 56 percent to 41 percent. But Allred has a seven-point lead among women, 51 percent to 44 percent.
The Republican senator leads among likely white voters by 22 points, 60 percent to Allred’s 38 percent. But Allred leads Cruz by 62 points among likely black voters.
Cruz and Allred are also in a close race among Latino voters: 48 percent support Allred while 45 percent support Cruz.
It comes as Democrats have not won a U.S. Senate race in Texas since 1988. But Cruz won his re-election bid in 2018 by just 2.6 points.
The Real Clear Politics polling average shows Cruz with a four-point lead, putting Allred within striking distance with 20 days left.
A survey conducted between September 26 and October 10
Meanwhile, Trump’s lead in the top state is similar to other polls conducted in Texas.
The average of Real Clear Politics polls puts him with a lead of more than five points in early voting that will begin on October 21.
The poll shows the former president has a large lead among several voter groups in Texas, including double-digit leads among likely white and male voters.
Among men, Trump leads Harris by 15 points with 56 percent to her 41 percent. But Harris doesn’t have as big a lead among female voters as she does in other key states. She only leads Trump with 51 percent women to 46 percent.
A new poll shows Donald Trump with a five-point lead over Kamala Harris in Texas when early voting begins on October 21.
When it comes to white likely voters, Trump has a 22-point lead at 60 percent to Harris’ 38 percent. That includes a 33-point lead among white men and a fourteen-point lead among white women.
Harris, however, maintains a massive 70-point gap among black voters, 84 percent to 14 percent. Their lead expands to a 78-point gap among black women and a 64 percent gap among black men.
The two are in a statistical tie when it comes to Texas Latino voters: 48 percent support Trump while 47 percent support Harris. Trump has a nine-point lead among Latino men, while Harris leads by two points among Latina women.
Trump also leads among older generations of voters with 61 percent among Boomers and the Silent Generation. By contrast, Harris also leads among Generation Z at 61 percent.
Democrats have long been trying to make inroads in the Lone Star State with its 40 electoral votes, but polls suggest they still have a ways to go to turn Texas blue.
The last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state was Jimmy Carter in 1976. Trump won the state in 2020 by more than five points.
