The two main threats to the New South Wales government in Wagga Wagga agree that the tide has turned against the Liberal Party, but both do not know how the votes of the community will flow.
Voters are at the polls in Wagga on Saturday as the NSW government prepares for a possible defeat at the regional headquarters for the first time in more than 60 years.
An electoral campaign paralyzed by a local corruption scandal and a disorderly federal coup has eroded the 12.9 percent margin of liberals, according to government sources.
Labor candidate Dan Hayes said local and national scandals had fueled anger in the community.
"People have been queuing early and for me, that indicates they are ready to vote, they are ready to make a change, where change will continue to be difficult," Hayes told reporters on Saturday.
The doctor and academic Joe McGirr has become the candidate with the best chance to end the generational change of the Liberals in the position of Riverina.
Dr. McGirr said he could feel the change in polling stations, but he was not sure where traditional liberal voters would redirect their vote.
"There is definitely an appetite for change, just uncertain where that will go," he told reporters in front of a voting booth in Wagga.
"I feel positive and very animated, but as I say, we are facing a very hard battle here and I think it is impossible to summon it at this stage."
Premier Gladys Berejiklian is unsure of the outcome and admitted that achieving a victory in the Riverina seat would be difficult.
"It's a fight," he said during a brief presentation in the voting booth of the Sturt Public School with liberal candidate Julia Ham.
The prime minister and several of his older colleagues have acknowledged that Malcolm Turnbull's attack had discouraged some voters in Wagga, but federal Senator Jim Molan dismissed those concerns.
"I have not seen any indication that this is even a factor," he told AAP as he handed out cards on how to vote for the Liberal Party in Wagga.
"We do not suffer leadership spills for fun, I can tell you."
The coalition's primary vote has plummeted to 25 percent, according to a recent ReachTel poll published by News Corp Australia.
Despite favorable polls, Labor leader Luke Foley did everything he could to minimize expectations when he came to a position on Saturday morning, giving his candidate a probability of 500 to one in a victory.
Bookmakers have Hayes a better chance than the $ 7, while an independent win is the favorite at $ 1.87, ahead of the Liberals $ 1.90.
Deputy Prime Minister Michael McCormack will not rule on whether the federal coalition would be guilty of a liberal loss in Wagga.
"We do not intend to lose the seat, we intend to win the seat and that question is hypothetical," McCormack told reporters.
NSW Nationals leader John Barilaro was a notable absence in Wagga, but McCormack said he "probably has things to do in his own electorate."