Kamala Harris could potentially win Georgia thanks to an increase in newly naturalized citizens and an increase in registered Democrats.
Georgia is considered one of seven key states in the 2024 race, as Donald Trump tries to win it back after losing to Joe Biden in 2020.
Polling numbers have been positive for Harris lately, and the numbers suggest she could improve on Biden’s marginal victory in the Peach State four years ago.
Two factors boost Harris’ chances: New voter registration in the state is trending heavily Democratic, and newly naturalized citizens outnumber Biden’s margin of victory in the last election.
About 158,000 immigrants will receive citizenship in Georgia this year; Biden defeated Trump by just 11,779 votes.
Kamala Harris could win Georgia thanks to an increase in newly naturalized citizens and an increase in registered Democrats.
Steve Hubbard, senior data scientist at the American Immigration Council, says new citizens are often the most eager to participate in democracy.
“The naturalization process is an arduous process that requires a lot of perseverance,” he said. WABE.
‘There are a lot of forms, an interview you have to complete, citizenship tests. We find that they are often very proud of that work and want to participate in the United States and its system of government.’
While there are no surveys on whether these new citizens are registered or how they would vote, new registrations generally trend Democratic.
Georgia has seen more than 120,000 new registered voters from July 21 to September 8, summarizing the first eight to ten weeks since Harris replaced Biden at the top of the ticket.
While more than half of those registered are unaffiliated, Democrats outnumber Republicans by between 51,000 and 13,000.
Around 56% of those registered are under 34 years of age; 20% of them turned or are turning 18 in time for the elections.
About 53% of new registered voters are people of color; All are traditionally Democratic demographics, although polls have shown Trump pulling ahead with them in some cases.
Georgia is considered one of seven key states in the 2024 race, as Donald Trump tries to win it back after losing to Joe Biden in 2020.
Naturalized citizens in Georgia celebrate their new citizenship. Steve Hubbard, senior data scientist at the American Immigration Council, says new citizens are often the most eager to participate in democracy.
Either way, Hubbard believes that the way new citizens vote could influence the election one way or another.
“If you’re in a state where the election is very close between the two presidential candidates, that could easily tip,” he said.
A recent Fox News poll revealed that Kamala Harris is taking the lead in the state of Georgia, one of the key swing states.
The vice president received 51 percent of support from registered and likely voters in the southern state, while Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump received 48 percent.
Harris increased between 50 and 48 percent among registered voters.
He survey It also revealed that more Georgians see Harris as the candidate who will help the middle class and protect democracy by a margin of three points each: 52 percent to 45 percent.
When it comes to the abortion issue, Harris leads with 18 points.
Trump, however, leads the vice president when it comes to handling immigration, by 15 points.
A recent Fox News poll revealed that Kamala Harris takes the lead in the state of Georgia.
Trump, however, is ahead of the vice president when it comes to handling immigration.
As for party loyalty, by a margin of four percentage points, more Democrats support Harris than Republicans support Trump, and one in five non-MAGA Republicans support Harris.
Independents also favor Harris by 13 points.
According to Fox News, Harris draws her support in Georgia from black voters, urban voters, people under 30, and women.
It comes as a poll conducted Tuesday by Harvard University showed a widening gap among young voters choosing between Harris and Trump.
The numbers showed Harris was beating Trump by 31 points among 18- to 29-year-olds who were likely to vote in the upcoming Nov. 5 election, a dramatic shift from the Harvard poll this spring, in which the President Biden led Trump by just 13 points among likely voters. young voters.
That was alarming news for Democrats at the time, who generally do better among young voters, and likely reflected the age of then-Democratic presidential candidate Biden, at 81.
After Biden dropped out of the race in July to be replaced by the much younger Harris, 59, things changed dramatically for the race and that is reflected in the results for young voters.
