- Trump was told last week that his fraud trial in New York will begin on April 15.
- Our poll found that almost all of his supporters say the conviction will not change their vote.
- “It could also make me more popular,” the former president said Monday.
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Last week, Donald Trump learned that he will be tried on April 15 in the first of four criminal cases. And his supporters say they simply don’t care if he is convicted or not.
That’s the result of a new Daily Mail/JL Partners poll which found just five per cent of their supporters would change their vote in the November election if they were convicted before then.
About 93 percent said they would continue voting for the president.
Overall, results from our poll of 1,000 likely voters show Trump maintaining his four-point lead over President Joe Biden despite his litany of legal problems.
If the election were tomorrow, 43 percent of respondents said they would vote for Trump, compared to 39 percent who said they would vote for Biden.
Only two percent of Trump supporters said they were very unlikely to vote for the former president if he were convicted of a crime before the election, in our survey of 1,000 likely voters.
Former President Donald Trump sat stone-faced in Manhattan Criminal Court on Monday morning. She was told he will go to trial on April 15 and face 34 felony counts of falsifying business records. His legal team had requested more time to prepare a defense.
Pollster James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners, said Trump was helped by the fact that his likely first trial, on charges related to hush money payments to a porn star, was seen as the most politically motivated of the trials. four cases.
‘Until recently, polls tended to show Trump’s vote falling when the possibility of his conviction arose. But in recent polls, and now in ours, this has changed,” Johnson said.
‘Here, 93 percent say they would continue with the president in such a scenario. This could change if it actually happens (surveys can’t predict people’s responses if an event happens), but since the hush money case comes first (the one people think is most likely to be a politically motivated accusation) , that only helps Donald Trump.
‘So far in this race, the accusations have only helped Trump. There are no signs yet that the convictions will have a different effect.’
The four cases have kept Trump busy for months. He has limited his campaign travel to weekend rallies and has instead delivered political speeches from courthouse steps or hallways.
His legal team has filed multiple legal challenges with prosecutors in Georgia, New York and Florida. And at one point it seemed possible that voters would go to the polls on Nov. 5 without any of the four cases being resolved.
But on Monday a New York judge told Trump that his trial on charges of falsifying business records will begin in mid-April.
It could be completed before the end of May.
After leaving the court, the former president lashed out at the prosecutions, calling them a form of election interference.
Trump has been in and out of court all year and has had to adjust his campaign, making political speeches from courthouses and holding rallies on weekends.
JL Partners surveyed 1,000 potential voters from March 20 to 24 via landline, mobile, SMS and apps. The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.
The results show that Donald Trump maintains his four-point lead over Joe Biden, with just over seven months left until the presidential elections on November 5.
But he also acknowledged that the New York case could help him.
“Well, it might also make me more popular,” he told reporters when asked if he was worried about how a conviction might affect the election, “because people know it’s a scam.”
“This is a trial of Biden.”
Other polls have suggested that a conviction could cost Trump enough votes to change the outcome of the election.
An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll released in February found that Biden’s overall one-point lead among registered voters expanded to six points when respondents were asked whether a conviction would change things.