A series of new polls suggest the race for the White House is tilting in favor of former President Donald Trump and against Vice President Kamala Harris with less than two weeks until Election Day.
Trump is campaigning in Nevada while Harris heads to Georgia for a rally alongside former President Obama on Thursday before both presidential candidates stop in Texas on Friday.
It comes as more than 29 million people have already cast their votes, either in person early or by mail, in the 2024 election.
But a new Wall Street Journal poll released Thursday shows the Republican presidential candidate holding a three-point lead nationally over the vice president.
The poll gives Trump 47 percent and Harris 45 percent among registered voters. This is a reversal of the survey conducted by the Wall Street Journal in August.
A series of recent polls have shown good news for former President Donald Trump and warning signs for Vice President Kamala Harris with less than two weeks until Election Day.
In the CNBC All-America Economic Poll, Trump also leads 48 percent to 46 percent.
In the seven battleground states likely to decide the election, the CNBC poll shows Trump leading 48 percent to Harris’ 47 percent among voters.
In that survey, economic issues remain the biggest concern for voters. When it comes to prioritizing inflation, the economy, and the needs of the middle class, Trump has a big advantage.
The poll found that 42 percent of voters said they would be better off financially if Trump won, compared to just 24 percent who said the same if Harris won. Another 29 percent said their financial situation will not change no matter who wins the White House.
National survey of registered voters
That’s similar to the final monthly poll from the Financial Times and the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business, which found the former president leads 44 percent to 43 percent among registered voters on the economy.
It was the first time Trump led the economy in that particular poll.
Looking at two new polls in the crucial state of Pennsylvania, which has the most electoral votes of all the swing states with 19, Trump also took the lead in the final sprint.
The poll from Franklin and Marshall College in Pennsylvania shows Trump ahead of Harris by 50 percent to 49 percent among likely voters, but among all registered voters, the vice president still holds a 48 percent to 44 lead. percent.
That poll shows Trump with a six-point lead when it comes to handling the economy and the military. But Harris has an advantage when it comes to understanding the concerns of ordinary Americans and is considered more trustworthy.
National and state voter survey
A separate Emerson College poll, also conducted in the Keystone State, shows Trump with a one-point lead among voters, indicating how close the race in Pennsylvania really is.
The poll puts the former president at 49 percent and the vice president at 48 percent. Another three percent of voters had a choice or were undecided.
“There is a significant age divide among voters: Voters under 50 favor Harris, 57 percent to 39 percent, while voters over 50 lean toward Trump, 57 percent to 41 percent.” said CEO Spencer Kimball.
Keystone State Potential Voter Survey
Meanwhile, a new Marist poll shows the Republican presidential candidate gaining momentum in key Sunbelt states among likely voters.
Trump has a two-point lead in North Carolina, a one-point lead in Arizona and is tied with Harris in Georgia.
In North Carolina, Harris has a twelve-point lead among those who have already voted early, but Trump is ahead overall, even among independents who favor the former president between 53 and 42 percent, according to the poll.
In Arizona, Harris has a 10-point lead among likely independent voters as well as those who have already cast their ballots, but overall Trump maintains the lead with an 11-point lead among those who have not yet voted.
While the Marist poll shows the race in Georgia is tied among likely voters, Harris leads by 15 points among independents likely to vote, which is larger than the nine-point lead President Biden had among independents in the 2020 elections against Trump.
Vice President Kamala Harris headed to Atlanta for a rally with former President Obama on October 24, 2024.
Donald Trump speaking at a Turning Point Action rally in Duluth, Georgia, on October 23
But Trump has more than double Harris’s support among the state’s likely white voters, between 67 percent and 32 percent.
At the same time, Harris leads among Black likely voters 82 percent to Trump’s 15 percent, but her lead is slightly smaller than Biden’s lead among Black voters in 2020, when he won the state by just over 11,000 votes.