Sen. Bernie Sanders goes to the last two February competitions – the caucuses of Nevada and the primary South Carolina – with the brilliance of the status of front runner.
The Vermont senator faces a new challenge to compete in states with much more different populations than Iowa and New Hampshire, where he won the popular vote, although something behind South Bend mayor Pete Buttigieg in the delegates count.
Nevada holds a week from Saturday a week, while South Carolina is a primary host the following Saturday. In 2016, Sanders lost both states to the eventual Democratic candidate after a 22-point win in New Hampshire against Hillary Clinton.
Sen. Bernie Sanders defeated former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg in Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary
Sen. Bernie Sanders, shown alongside wife Jane Sanders, must now deploy funds for the following two states: Nevada and South Carolina while looking forward to ‘Super Tuesday’
Sen. Bernie Sanders was crushed in 2016 by Hillary Clinton in South Carolina because he managed to get only 14 percent of the black Democratic vote. He also lost Nevada to Clinton, again because she did better than he did with African Americans
Sen. Bernie Sanders will be in and out of Nevada in the coming week, forwarding surrogates to South Carolina and also holding rallies in Super Tuesday states
In South Carolina, Sanders was crushed by Clinton thanks to black voters.
She won the state with 73 percent of the votes. Sanders received 26 percent.
Exit polls were shown that while Clinton and Sanders performed fairly evenly among white South Carolina Democrats – she eliminated him with 54 percent while he received 46 percent – black South Carolina Demorats preferred Clinton with no less than 72 points.
Clinton received 86 percent of the votes from the black Palmetto state, while Sanders received only 14 percent.
And in South Carolina four years ago, the black vote in the Democratic primary represented 61 percent of voters, according to exit polls, versus the 35 percent of white South Carolina Democrats who came to the polls.
In Nevada, Sanders only lost the caucuses to Clinton with 6 points. She won 53 percent of the vote, to 47 percent of the Vermont senator.
Four years ago, the majority of voters responsible for the Nevada Democrats were white. They accounted for 59 percent of the people who showed up. Another 19 percent were Spanish and 13 percent were black.
Sanders won white votes, but with two points – 49 percent to 47 percent.
He also won a larger share of the Latino vote than Clinton – 53 to 45 percent.
But again, it was black voters who gave the former state secretary a head start.
Seventy-six percent of black caucus visitors in Nevada chose Clinton, while Sanders earned 22 percent.
This time, Sanders is competing against more candidates – with one, former vice president Joe Biden, who focuses almost entirely on deporting black and brown voters after disappointing finishes in the first two states.
To counteract this, Sanders is going to Nevada, sending surrogates to South Carolina, while also planning events in Super Tuesday states in case Biden is in charge.
The former vice president is currently the best Sanders in Nevada with a spread of 3.5 points, but voters have only been questioned twice since the beginning of 2020.
A lot has changed since then, including Biden’s fourth and fifth place in Iowa and New Hampshire respectively. Two national polls now lead Sanders. The Quinnipiac survey also suggests that Biden’s national support among African Americans has been cut in two.
The two most recent South Carolina polls, both of which took place at the end of January before nominations started, show Biden 18 and then 5 points ahead.
The surveys show that Sanders and billionaire Tom Steyer compete for second and third place. Steyer, who remained in numbers and came from Iowa and New Hampshire, has devoted many resources to the state of Palmetto.
Sanders hasn’t planned any shows in South Carolina yet – instead he sent a trio of surrogates. From Thursday, former Senator Nina Turner will appear in South Carolina, along with actress Susan Sarandon and actor Danny Glover, two Hollywood competitions that Sanders have supported since 2016. Turner and Glover are black.
Sanders holds two Valentine’s Day rallies in North Carolina – in Raleigh-Durham and then Charlotte – and then another meeting near Dallas, Texas.
He then goes to Nevada for the weekend, where he organizes events in Las Vegas and Carson City.
At the end of Sunday, Sanders turns up in Denver Colorado to hold a rally there.
Colorado, like North Carolina and Texas, votes on “Super Tuesday” this year, March 3.
Sanders then returns to Nevada to hold meetings in Reno and back in Las Vegas.
Democrats will debate on Wednesday evening in the run-up to Saturday’s caucuses.
And Sanders will again organize a major caucus-eve rally, scheduled for a Friday night in an amphitheater in Las Vegas.