Russian military analyst warns that a European war or a world war in the month is possible as tensions in Ukraine increase
A European or even a world war could erupt in Ukraine in four after Russia sent 4,000 to the disputed border with its neighbor, an independent Russian military analyst warns.
It comes as images from social media showing suspected large-scale Russian military movements in regions close to rebel-occupied eastern Ukraine and annexed Crimea.
With tensions soaring, analyst Pavel Felgenhauer, 69, said that a “psychoanalyst” is now needed to determine Russia’s intentions in Ukraine, but warned events could lead to “war in a month.”
The West has expressed concern about the movement of troops and troops in Moscow, and Felgenhauer says he is rightly concerned, as unverified new images appear to show military movements in Russia’s Voronezh, Rostov and Krasnodar regions, along with major rail routes.
“The crisis has the potential to escalate into a pan-European war, if not even a world war,” Felgenhauer warned sharply in an interview with the Rosbalt news center in Russia.
But for now, potentially. Will it happen or not? Let’s wait. In the West they don’t know what to do about it. ‘
A European or even a world war could erupt in Ukraine in four after Russia sent 4,000 to the disputed border with its neighbor, an independent Russian military analyst warns. Pictured: military machines being moved by suspected Russian forces
It comes as images from social media showing supposedly large-scale Russian military movements in regions close to rebel-occupied eastern Ukraine and annexed Crimea.
Military analyst Pavel Felgenhauer
Russia yesterday vowed to ‘take extra measures’ if NATO sends troops to Ukraine after the Kremlin sends 4,000 troops to the disputed border with its neighbor.
Such a scenario would undoubtedly lead to a further increase in tensions near the Russian borders. This, of course, calls for additional measures on the Russian side to ensure security, ” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.
However, he insisted that Russia “did not threaten” Ukraine, despite an earlier statement warning that a war in Donbass would “destroy” its neighbor.
Footage has emerged showing dozens of military helicopters close to the border and the movement of tanks and other military vehicles by train.
The United States pledged its “ unwavering ” support to Ukraine on Thursday when defense officials said they were aware of thousands of troops recently deployed in the separatist Donbass area, which is controlled by pro-Moscow factions.
Asked why Russia may now be pushing for conflict, Felgenhauer replied, “Direct this question to a psychoanalyst. Do I have to explain this?
“The facts are there, everything is already happening.”
Images have emerged showing the movement of tanks and other military vehicles by train
He claimed that all the conditions could have been met in early May, when the Russian will be holding a grand parade in Red Square to mark the anniversary of the World War II victory, and he suspected that a ‘decision has already been made’ .
Felgenhauer said the factors that led Russia to conquer land in Ukraine were “ the closure of pro-Russian TV channels in Ukraine, the threat of arrest and trial of Ukrainian politician Viktor Medvedchyuk, the arrest of Alexei Navalny, ” [and] President Biden calls Putin a murderer.
The threats are growing, and fast. Much is not discussed in the media, but we are seeing very bad signals, ”he added.
In the third week of March, three large Russian Baltic Fleet landing ships moved south through the English Channel, accompanied by a corvette, he said.
“There will be ten such combat units in all, plus small airborne troops,” he said. “You can collect up to two divisions, taking the air force into account.”
Russia could plan a “Norman-style landing” between Odessa and Mykolaiv, he claimed.
Putin has huge troops in occupied Eastern Ukraine – which fell under his rule in 2014 – and in occupied Crimea.
The Biden government pledged its ‘unwavering’ support to Ukraine on Thursday (photo: Russian President Vladimir Putin, left, and Joe Biden, right)
“It is clear that a major operation is being prepared and other troops will be deployed as well,” he said.
“Everyone is talking about a possible tank invasion from Belgorod by Kharkiv towards Zaporizhia to encircle Ukrainian troops on the left bank of the Donbass.”
Putin could cut Ukraine off from the sea, create it [a new rebel state of] Novorossiya, for example ‘or he could make a move and then pause and start dictating terms to the West,’ Felgenhauer added.
Or Russia could try to extend its control devouring Ukraine into Transnistria, a landlocked, Moscow-controlled ‘unofficial state’ of no man’s land with its own KGB secret service, he claimed.
Felgenhauer predicted that the West’s expected responses to such movements were “unclear.”
‘Some [in the West] say the Russians should not be provoked, and that military intervention is too risky.
“Others, on the other hand, are in favor of unification (of Russia and Ukraine) and open confrontation, because then negotiations can take place with Russia.”
Ukraine claims Russia has 32,700 troops in Crimea and 28,000 separatist soldiers in rebel-occupied eastern Ukraine.
“Despite significant enemy forces, the Ukrainian military is prepared for all possible scenarios,” said Ruslan Khomchak, the Ukrainian commander in chief.
Putin’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov defended the troop movement to border areas.
The Russian Federation is relocating troops within its own territory at its discretion, ”he said.
The Kremlin said on Thursday that Ukraine and the West need not worry about Russian troop movements on the Ukrainian border (photo, a tank of pro-Russian militants from the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic)
“This would not concern anyone, as such actions do not endanger anyone.”
He stated: ‘As you know, on the periphery of Russia’s borders intense activity is observed by the armies of NATO member states and other organizations, as well as certain states, etc.
“We have to stay on our guard.”
A NATO official said Western allies have “concerns” about Russia’s “large-scale military activities around Ukraine.”
An American expert on Russia, Michael Kofman, said that while there was “no strong evidence that an attack is imminent,” it was clear “that something is going on outside of regular drills or the normal troop rotation.”
He warned, “Russian intentions are unclear.”
Ukraine, Western countries and NATO accuse Russia of sending troops and heavy weapons to support its proxies in Donbass, which seized part of eastern Ukraine in 2014.
Russia says it only provides political and humanitarian support to separatist fighters in what it calls an internal conflict.
Ukrainian Military Intelligence accused Russia of technical provocations to create a pretext for sending additional Russian military units to Donbass.
“In addition, an attempt to increase Russian occupation forces deep in Ukraine is not out of the question,” he said.