Presidential polls latest: Five Thirty Eight election forecast shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a dead heat

The electoral forecast five thirty eight shows that Kamala Harris has a 50 percent chance of winning the election in less than three weeks.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump is just under 49 percent, making the race tied.

In the national polling average, Harris has a slight lead of just 2.8 points.

“We are in pure volatility territory and Harris’ slight lead last week has disappeared,” Silver writes.

The latter represents a one-point improvement for former President Trump over Silver’s previous model.

By Katelyn Caralle, US Senior Political Reporter

The presidential race took a turn this week after polls revealed that Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead over Donald Trump was disappearing.

Conducted on October 11 and 14 among 1,110 registered voters, Trump leads Harris 50 percent to 48 percent, which represents a 4-point improvement from when the vice president was ahead by 2 percent last month.

Harris, however, maintains a 6-point lead among voters in the seven key battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Most national polls this week have shown Harris’ lead declining or disappearing entirely since her boost following the debate with Trump in September.

Most results reveal a gap that falls within the margin of error of the respective surveys.

Social media trolls are signing up to attend Donald Trump’s rally at Madison Square Garden with no intention of going, but the joke may be on them.

The former president’s rally in the heart of Manhattan at the legendary stadium may not win him New York state, but it will galvanize Trump’s growing enthusiasm in the area, particularly among the minority communities with which his support has recently surged.

Trump and his campaign hope to sell out all 19,500 seats at MSG on Sunday, October 27, but some are already threatening to derail the event.

Early voting began Thursday in North Carolina, as several parts of the state are still recovering from Hurricane Helene.

In the area most affected by Helene, polls will be open from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. so residents can vote.

Buncombe Board of Elections Chairman Jake Quinn said:

We have a new early voting plan. Please everyone, spread the word.

Vice President Kamala Harris’ team desperately tried to get Fox News host Bret Baier to end his interview early toward the end of the testy meeting in Pennsylvania on Wednesday.

The Democratic presidential candidate joined Baier for an interview broadcast on her late-night show Special Report, her first interview for the conservative news network.

The pair spoke to each other numerous times as Baier grilled the 59-year-old vice president — who arrived 17 minutes late, according to the journalist — on multiple topics, including immigration, from the beginning.

“I’m talking like four people waving their hands like, ‘It’s got to stop,'” Baier described to his panel about how the taped but unedited interview ended after it aired at the end of his 6 p.m. show.

“In the end I had to dismount there,” Baier shrugged.

“There are so many things and maybe I should do more of these,” he added.

By Katelyn Caralle, US Senior Political Reporter

Donald Trump praised Fox News host Bret Baier for his “tough but very fair interview” with Vice President Kamala Harris.

The former president’s praise came after MAGA social media users speculated before the interview that the right-wing network would favorably edit his meeting with Harris.

Trump wrote on X and his social media site Truth Social:

Great job by Bret Baier in his interview with Lyin’ Kamala Harris. He has a massive, hopeless case of TRUMP DISORDER SYNDROME.

He added that Baier’s interview “clearly showed how totally incompetent Kamala is.”