Only 38 percent of likely 2024 voters believe President Joe Biden will be alive at the end of another four-year term, according to an exclusive poll for DailyMail.com.
And that means one thing: Vice President Kamala Harris has the same chance of holding the top job as Biden in January 2029 if he wins re-election.
About 36 percent of likely voters believe Harris will be president at the end of the term. Exactly the same proportion who believe Biden will take the position.
The results show how the 81-year-old president’s age will be a major factor on Nov. 5 when voters choose the commander in chief they want for the next four years.
Donald Trump, his Republican rival, is only four years younger, but voters have fewer doubts.
JL Partners asked 1,005 likely voters their opinion of Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Only 38 percent said they were confident Biden would survive four full years of another term.
About 36 percent of voters believe Vice President Kamala Harris will be president in January 2029 if Biden is elected to another four-year term in November.
More than half say they are confident he will make it through a full term, and 34 percent say they have doubts.
Either way, the results show how Republicans and Democrats will have to weigh not only their choice for president, but also consider who will likely fill the void if ill health (or worse) incapacitates the leader of the free world.
“Voters think Biden is too old and they don’t change their minds,” said James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners, which conducted the poll.
‘The difficulty for Biden is that opinions about him are shaped not through events like his State of the Union address, which people who watched felt were passionate, but through the consumption of hundreds of viral clips on Biden’s social media stumbling and slurring his words. .
“That strong perception that he’s too old fuels the feeling that he’s too weak, and it’s a major problem for him heading into November. Frankly, they don’t think he’s up to the job, and that makes his re-election a much more difficult task.’
Biden would be 86 years old at the end of a second term.
And he addressed the age issue directly in his State of the Union address.
“My fellow Americans,” Biden said as he concluded, “the problem facing our nation is not how old we are, but how old our ideas are.”
“Hate, anger, revenge and retribution are among the oldest ideas.”
Biden answered questions about his age with a powerful performance as he laid out his platform for the election during his State of the Union address to Congress earlier this month.
However, the most viral moment may have been an example of fragility, when he mispronounced the name of ‘Laken Riley,’ a woman murdered by an illegal immigrant, as ‘Lincoln Riley.’
He also frequently uses humor to try to calm the issue.
“I know it may not seem like it, but I’ve been at this for a while,” he said during the State of the Union.
But he was rocked by a series of negative headlines after a damning report by the special counsel who claimed, during hours of questioning, that he forgot the date his beloved son Beau died and that the president would appear as “an older man with a bad memory” before a jury.
(However, when the transcript of the interviews was released, Biden’s performance was much better than the condensed report suggested.)
JL Partners surveyed 1,000 potential voters from March 20 to 24 via landline, mobile, SMS and apps. The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.
The results show that Donald Trump maintains his four-point lead over Joe Biden, with just over seven months left until the presidential elections on November 5.
Trump has repeatedly attacked Biden as unfit for office because of his age. But he has also suffered unforced errors and verbal gaffes at public events that some Republicans say show his declining performance.
“Putin has so little respect for Obama that he’s starting to spread the word nuclear,” Trump said at a rally in Richmond, Virginia, earlier this month, confusing the current president with a Democratic predecessor.
For now, Trump has the advantage. A separate DailyMail.com/JL Partners poll of 1,000 likely voters found that the former president has maintained the four-point lead he has held since December.
Biden’s campaign did not respond to a request for comment.