More hope for New York because hospital admissions are falling again and there are fewer ICU admissions
ICU admissions in New York fell again on Thursday from before the onset of the coronavirus crisis, another indication that the state has peaked and is now on its way to reboot the economy with antibody tests, thousands of which will follow next week will become available.
The number of hospital admissions rose slightly from 200 new admissions on Wednesday to 250 on Thursday, but the three-day average is still lower.
The death toll rose to 7,844 – up from 777, which is about 20 less than the day before. The number of infections also rose by 10,575 to 170,512.
All signs show that New York is now at its peak and the crisis is finally coming to an end.
Governor Cuomo said on Friday that the state far exceeded what one of the forecasts predicted because people were so vigilant about staying at home.
Among the different models he explored when planning the crisis, one said 140,000 people would need hospital beds at any time.
The number of new ICU admissions in New York on Thursday was less than before the coronavirus crisis began, another sign that New York has peaked and is coming out of the worst pandemic
Total hospital admissions in New York are expected to reach 136,000, but are in fact only 18,569 as of Friday
The three-day average of hospital admissions is still lower than this time last week. Cuomo said on Friday that he hoped that New York City experienced the worst pandemic
The state did its best to add 40,000 beds to the existing 53,000 capacity, but as of Friday, 18,569 were used.
“They couldn’t count the minds of New Yorkers and the love of New Yorkers. Their computers couldn’t count on that, ‘Cuomo said on Friday.
“To use an overused term, we are cautiously optimistic that we reduce the infection rate. That’s what the data suggests.
“The change in the total number of hospital admissions is lower, not compared to yesterday, but in the three-day average.
“The change of ICU recordings is negative for the first time since we started this intense journey. That means there are fewer people in intensive care across the state than before. Which is good.
‘Intubations are a bit higher than ever. The bad news is that we continue to lose a huge number of lives. 777. I still cannot fully appreciate that this situation would be longer than 9/11.
“In general, New York is flattening the curve,” he said.
The next stage is to roll out an antibody test to determine if a person has had and has recovered from the virus, allowing people to ‘gradually’ return to work.
The Department of Health currently has the capacity to run 300 tests per day – it is unclear where and how they are performed.
Next week, Cuomo said enough was made to do 1,000 a day, and the next week, production will increase to 2,000 a day.
It still won’t be enough to test the millions it needs to get back to work, and now Cuomo wants the federal government’s help to scale it up.
Why can’t New York just develop more tests and test more? How do we get it to scale. That’s a problem we’ve been working on. It is more difficult than it sounds.
“We need certain materials. It is very difficult to get these reagents. We need unprecedented mobilization where the government can run these tests with millions.
Cuomo said on Friday that the forecasts did not count on New Yorkers and how seriously they would take social distance
Bodies are removed from a refrigerated mortuary at Kingsbrook Jewish Medical Center in Brooklyn on Friday
“We have nine million people we want to get back to work. You need more than a few thousand tests per week.
“I don’t think private sector companies can scale.”
It remains unclear why other states like California – where 3,200 were done privately by Stanford University physicians and where hundreds are still done today – seem to be further afield.
In Colorado, a local couple who run a lab conducted 6,000 tests on residents of their county.
A spokesman for the governor’s office did not immediately respond to DailyMail.com’s questions about Friday morning production speed.
Cuomo is working on ramping up production of fingerstick antibody tests that will be available next week, but he has not provided information on where people can get them
Cuomo said that when people go back to work, it won’t happen overnight.
“It won’t be,” everyone goes back next Thursday. “It’s going to be a gradual, phased process that relies on testing antibodies for diagnostic results and testing on a scale we’ve never done before,” he said.
The current shutdown order remains in effect until April 29, as it announced earlier this week.
Despite the encouraging new data, Cuomo said people should continue to practice social distance.
“We hope we’ve seen the worst. We do not know because the infection rate is purely under our control. If you tell me what New Yorkers are doing today, I’ll tell you what happens to the infection rate in two or three days.
“We are in control of how many people die. We are all in control of that. It is a result of the action we are taking – we will determine how many people live and die, “he said.
Scientists are waiting for the results of thousands of antibody tests already done in California and Colorado – where one test identified eight of 986 people who had recovered from coronavirus
Thousands of people in California and Colorado have been tested for antibodies to coronavirus in a series of studies in different states, which scientists are now eagerly awaiting in the hope that they can be the key to restarting the economy.
In California, a Stanford-led study has already tested 3,200 people for the antibodies using fingersticks developed by Premier Biotech.
In Los Angeles, the provincial health department begins a pilot test program on Friday that involves hundreds of people randomly tested to determine.
And in San Miguel County, Colorado, all residents are tested by local United Biomedical executives who are locally nearby.
One of the tests used is a Premier Biotech finger test that delivers results within 10 minutes. It was used in the Stanford study in California
Tens of thousands of tests have already been done there, but the company’s laboratories are supported in processing the results.
They managed to return 986 results, finding eight people who had the antibodies, according to county officials.
Dr. Stanford’s Evan Bendavid tested 3,200 people as part of his study. He has not yet released the results
The results of twenty-three people were considered to be borderline or ‘undetermined’ and 955 were negative.
New York has yet to roll out its own antibody test, despite being by far the hardest-hit region in America.
The State Department of Health has developed its own test through its own scientists, and Governor Andrew Cuomo says he’s now working on getting it to scale.
World leaders hope the tests are key to restarting the economy, but an effective one has yet to be found.
Thousands of tests have not been effective in Europe, including in Spain, where it has been found to work in only 30 percent of cases.
The problems are believed to lie in the fact that the tests may not be sensitive enough to detect whether a person has immunity to the virus.
There are still many unanswered questions about the virus, such as how long a person remains immune to it and whether or not you can be reinfected once you recover from it.
Dr. Eran Bendavid, the Stanford scientist in charge in California, told ABC’s Diane Sawyer that he is hopeful that the test will clarify some of these questions.
“I think this [study] has very important implications for how we understand the epidemic, how we move it forward.
Lou Reese and wife Mei Mei Hu run United Biomedical, which pays for an entire county in Colorado to be tested
“The most important piece of information from our survey is: how many people in our country are infected?”
He tested 3,200 volunteers in Santa Clara County last week and is now waiting for the results.
The Stanford study took place in three locations; a church and two parks. Clinical and non-clinical volunteers staffed the laboratories.
They found participants by displaying targeted ads on Facebook to attract a target audience that represents the province.
“This service has exploded.
The number of participants doubled every few minutes. We saw them in real time and I panicked. I said, “Close [registration] now. Take it off so we can reevaluate it. “” Bendavid todl The Stanford Daily.
Everyone who entered got a $ 10 Amazon gift card. If the scientists find antibodies in their blood, they’ll call them in a week, Bendavid added.
The tests were conducted last Friday and Saturday.
Dr. Bendavid did not immediately respond to DailyMail.com’s questions on Friday morning about when the results would be known.
Prime Minister Biotech, the lab that conducts the tests, says on its website that the results are available within 10 minutes of taking the sample and the results are valid for 20 minutes.