Los Angeles County could be on track to achieve herd immunity by the end of June.
Public health director Barbara Ferrer said Wednesday that, based on figures from the federal government, LA County will achieve 80 percent vaccination rates among residents over the age of 16 in the next 12 weeks.
That would put the province within the overall immunity of 70-85 percent – from both vaccinations and infections – Dr. Anthony Fauci has said it is required for herd immunity.
“If LA County gets 500,000 doses per week, 80 percent vaccination ages 16 and older could be done in just 12 weeks,” Ferrer said at a presentation.
In a press release on Wednesday, LA County Public Health said more than 4,000,000 vaccines have been administered in the county, with 1,323,686 people receiving their second dose.
Los Angeles County could be on track to achieve herd immunity by the end of June. The county’s Public Health Director, Barbara Ferrer, said Wednesday that, based on figures from the federal government, LA County will achieve 80 percent vaccination rates among residents over the age of 16 in the next 12 weeks. [File photo]
The county has given 4,434,120 vaccines to the population of about 10 million people – more than any other county in California.
LA County has recorded 1.22 million coronavirus cases and 23,143 deaths from Covid-19 since the pandemic began last year.
Ferrer said between 30 and 40 percent of the county’s residents were already infected with the coronavirus, adding to the county’s overall immunity.
This week, Fauci referred to a study that suggested 45 percent of people in Los Angeles have Covid-19 antibodies.
Deadline suggested that if the majority of those 45 percent had not been vaccinated, the number of LA residents under the age of 16 with immunity to exposure to the virus could be about 10 percent of the county’s total population.
Ferrer said 80 percent of the remaining population over 16 should have been vaccinated by the end of June.
The deadline estimated that that would cover 64 percent of all residents, which added to the 10 percent under 16 is 74 percent of the county’s population – within Fauci’s 70-85 percent guideline for herd immunity.
LA County has registered 1.22 million cases of coronavirus since the pandemic began last year
At least 23,143 people have died from Covid-19 in LA County since the pandemic started last year
Ferrer’s projection is based on the province receiving an average of 576,000 doses per week up to the end of June.
Federal government projections indicated that the province would receive 500,000 doses this week and for the next two weeks, then rise to 600,000 and 700,000.
“We got the most vaccines this week than ever before,” she said, adding that the county is well set up to vaccinate large numbers of people at all times.
‘We have capacity here. We’re never going to get a situation here where we get extra doses and we can’t get them right into people’s arms, ” she said.
Although the county received more doses than ever this week, Ferrer said the infrastructure has been modified to cope with delivering doses at 630,000 appointments per week.
In a press release on Wednesday, LA County Public Health said more than 4,000,000 vaccines have been administered in the county, with 1,323,686 people receiving their second dose. Pictured: A woman received a Johnson & Johnson vaccine in Los Angeles on March 25 [File photo]
Variants of the coronavirus have been found in LA County and it is unclear whether immunity to the original strain will also protect humans from these new forms.
On Wednesday, Ferrer also announced that LA County was moving from the red level to the orange level, with some loosening of restrictions starting Monday.
Under the orange layer, there will be more capacity at shops, cinemas, restaurants and other attractions.
Bars that don’t serve food may also open for field service.
California has enforced strict lockdown restrictions to curb the spread of the coronavirus.