Latino voters are now evenly split between the two parties
Latino voters are now split evenly between the two parties instead of being a Democratic stronghold, new polls
- Latino voters split support between both political parties, which is bad news for Democrats
- A Wall Street Journal poll found that 37 percent supported both a Republican and a Democratic generic congressional candidate who would run in 2022
- In a hypothetical rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, 44 percent said Biden and 43 percent said Trump
- In 2020, Biden defeated Trump 59 to 38 percent among Latino voters, according to the Pew Research Center
- However, Trump made gains and improved his vote share from 28 percent in 2016, when Democrat Hillary Clinton took 66 percent of the Spanish vote.
Latino voters split their support between both political parties, which is bad news for Democrats, who historically counted on the minority group for excessive support.
A New Wall Street Journal Poll found that when Hispanic voters were asked which party they would support in next year’s congressional election, 37 percent chose the Democratic nominee, while another 37 percent said Republican.
In a hypothetical rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, 44 percent said Biden and 43 percent said Trump.
Supporters of former President Donald Trump hold up a “Latinos for Trump” sign in Miami, Florida, in October 2020. As Trump made his inroads among Spanish voters in 2020, polls show the group is now even more divided among the parties, having previously been democratic
Once a reliable Democratic voting bloc, new polls from The Wall Street Journal even showed support for Democrats and Republicans among all Spanish voters who took part in the 2022 midterm races.
Biden’s disapproval rating is also higher than his approval rating among Spanish voters.
The Journal’s poll found that 54 percent of Latinos currently disapprove of Biden’s work, compared to 42 percent who approve of it.
In 2020, Trump — whose campaign devoted significant resources to Latino outreach — did see gains.
According to to a report from the Pew Research CenterTrump received 38 percent of the Spanish vote, compared to Biden’s 59 percent.
In 2016, Trump – the winner of the race – got just 28 percent of the Hispanic vote, while Democrat Hillary Clinton walked away with 66 percent.
Trump’s party performed even worse in the medium term in 2018, Pew found, with 72 percent of Latino voters supporting Democratic Congressional candidates and 25 percent supporting Republicans.
The poll also found that President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump were nearly tied for support among all Spanish voters, despite Biden winning the group by 21 points in 2020. As in any demographic, there is a gender gap, with women being more supportive of Democrats
The trend toward Republicans now could be Hispanic men’s desire to see the country return to Trump’s economic policies.
The Journal’s poll found that Hispanic men believed Republicans were pursuing better economic policies by a margin of 17 points.
The poll showed a wider gender gap, with Hispanic women more supportive of Democrats and Biden in general.
But this also applied to economics, with Spanish women favoring democratic economic policies by a margin of 10 points.
In addition, a majority of Hispanic men said they would like to return to Trump’s policies, while a majority of Hispanic women said they would like to stick with Biden’s.
“You see in this poll that there is a group of Hispanic men who have undoubtedly been seduced by Trump and become more Republican. We have more work to do on that,” Democratic pollster John Anzalone told The Journal.