Home Sports Stats boffins predict England’s chances of winning Euro 2024 – as Gareth Southgate looks to claim his first piece of silverware after seven years in charge

Stats boffins predict England’s chances of winning Euro 2024 – as Gareth Southgate looks to claim his first piece of silverware after seven years in charge

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A supercomputer predicts Gareth Southgate's team's chances of winning Euro 2024

A supercomputer has revealed England’s chances of winning Euro 2024 this summer.

Jude Bellingham’s injury-time equalizer against Belgium ensured Gareth Southgate’s side did not end the international break with two defeats, with the Real Madrid star sealing a 2-2 draw at Wembley.

England had suffered a 1-0 defeat to Brazil on Saturday afternoon in what was a dismal match, with the visitors sealing victory with a late goal from 17-year-old prodigy Endrick.

All eyes now turn to this summer’s European Championship in Germany, with Southgate set to name a preliminary squad for the tournament on May 21.

Since taking the reins more than seven years ago, this year will perhaps be England’s best chance of claiming silverware under Southgate.

A supercomputer predicts Gareth Southgate's team's chances of winning Euro 2024

A supercomputer predicts Gareth Southgate’s team’s chances of winning Euro 2024

Jude Bellingham helped England bounce back to rescue a draw against Belgium on Tuesday.

Jude Bellingham helped England bounce back to rescue a draw against Belgium on Tuesday.

Jude Bellingham helped England bounce back to rescue a draw against Belgium on Tuesday.

England will play their next warm-up match against Bosnia and Herzegovina on June 3.

England will play their next warm-up match against Bosnia and Herzegovina on June 3.

England will play their next warm-up match against Bosnia and Herzegovina on June 3.

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This international break has given the Three Lions boss plenty to think about, with young stars Kobbie Mainoo and Anthony Gordon stepping up to make their senior debuts.

England have also been hit by a series of injuries, with Bukayo Saka, Harry Maguire and Kyle Walker withdrawing from camp.

Despite receiving the backing of several key players and having led England to the semi-finals of the 2022 World Cup and the final of the 2021 European Championship before that, doubts remain over whether Southgate is the man to lead to England to glory.

Under their current manager, England have played 24 matches against countries ranked within the top 10 of the FIFA world rankings, winning seven of those games, drawing seven and losing 10.

However, they are backed as favorites to win the tournament in Germany this summer, according to OCB Scores supercomputer.

England has a 34.4 percent chance of winning the tournament, while France has been given a 28.3 percent chance of winning the Euros.

Their calculations are based on historical probabilities and performance-related data taken from previous tournaments.

This week, Germany, which was eliminated from the Qatar World Cup in the 2022 group stage, recorded consecutive victories against France and the Netherlands.

The international break has given Southgate plenty to think about as he looks to pick his team on May 21.

The international break has given Southgate plenty to think about as he looks to pick his team on May 21.

The international break has given Southgate plenty to think about as he looks to pick his team on May 21.

Kobbie Mainoo stood out during Tuesday's match, making his senior debut for the England senior team.

Kobbie Mainoo stood out during Tuesday's match, making his senior debut for the England senior team.

Kobbie Mainoo stood out during Tuesday’s match, making his senior debut for the England senior team.

Jarrod Bowen scored to help England draw level with Belgium after the visitors took the lead.

Jarrod Bowen scored to help England draw level with Belgium after the visitors took the lead.

Jarrod Bowen scored to help England draw level with Belgium after the visitors took the lead.

The supercomputer backs them with a 13.5 percent chance of winning at home.

After Italy beat England 3-2 on penalties in the 2021 tournament final, Southgate’s team took revenge on the Azzurri twice during their qualifying matches last year. They also enjoyed a successful international break, beating Venezuela and Ecuador, but have a 0.8 percent chance of retaining their title.

England will play two warm-up matches against Bosnia and Herzegovina and Iceland in early June before beginning their Euro 2024 campaign against Serbia on June 16.

Southgate’s contract with England expires in December and this could be his last tournament in charge of the Three Lions.

Manchester United have also reportedly made him their number one target to replace Erik ten Hag.

England has a 34.4 percent chance of winning the Euros, surpassing France, who have been given a 28.3 percent chance of winning the tournament.

England has a 34.4 percent chance of winning the Euros, surpassing France, who have been given a 28.3 percent chance of winning the tournament.

England has a 34.4 percent chance of winning the Euros, surpassing France, who have been given a 28.3 percent chance of winning the tournament.

Germany could be the dark horse, as this year's hosts beat France and the Netherlands this week.

Germany could be the dark horse, as this year's hosts beat France and the Netherlands this week.

Germany could be the dark horse, as this year’s hosts beat France and the Netherlands this week.

1711559618 693 Stats boffins predict Englands chances of winning Euro 2024

1711559618 693 Stats boffins predict Englands chances of winning Euro 2024

Southgate has admitted that choosing a team for this summer’s tournament will be “complicated”

But the England manager has a lot to think about between now and then and admitted that choosing a team for this summer’s tournament will be “complicated”.

“It’s going to be complicated, first of all, because of the injury situations we have,” Southgate said when asked how difficult it will be to pick a 23-man squad with the number of injuries he is dealing with.

‘Some will be back playing at the weekend, some will be back playing in a couple of weeks, some will be very close to the end of the season.

“Then we have the European finals, the FA Cup final and the two friendlies we have ourselves.

“It is inevitable that we are going to name a longer team, which is what we did here before the Euro, although then we were dealing with 26.

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