The odds of Kamala Harris landing a lucky seven and winning all the key states against Donald Trump in the November election are extremely low.
While Trump appeared poised to easily win many Republican states against Joe Biden, polls show Harris gaining ground in some states and leading in others.
However, his chances of winning the seven most difficult contests (considered by experts to be Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada) are quite low.
British bookmakers William Hill give Harris just a 50-to-1 chance of sweeping those states — essentially a two percent chance.
Biden flipped Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan from Republican to Democrat to win in 2020, while he held Nevada and lost North Carolina to beat Trump.
The odds of Kamala Harris landing a lucky seven and winning all the key states against Donald Trump in the November election are extremely low.
Harris has odds of winning all of these states on her own that range from low to better than a coin toss.
The incumbent vice president has a 69.2 percent chance of winning North Carolina, a 66.7 percent chance of winning Michigan, a 61.9 percent chance of winning Wisconsin, and a 60 percent chance of winning Georgia and Pennsylvania.
With those seven states up for grabs, if Harris and Trump were to tie in the remaining races, Harris would have a 226-219 electoral vote lead, with 270 votes needed to win.
Aside from Nevada and its six electoral votes, if Harris were to win four of the six remaining key states indicated, she would have the numbers to claim victory.
According to the new figures, Harris has erased the lead Trump was building in states before President Biden dropped out of the race.
However, in a DailyMail.com poll published earlier this week, the former president still holds a two-point lead over the new Democratic nominee.
While other recent polls show the vice president with a sizable lead, our survey of 1,001 likely voters found that 43 percent would vote for Trump if the election were held tomorrow, compared with 41 percent who would vote for Harris.
With a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, it sets the stage for a very close election in November.
New findings from The New York Times suggest the two presidential candidates are now in tight races in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.
Trump looked set to win these states just a few weeks ago, and the new findings show Harris closing in on his lead.
An independent online poll has revealed the attributes responsible for Trump’s lead. It found that voters still see him as the stronger, more charismatic candidate, with the best chance of getting things done.
Still, Harris is outperforming Biden on every count, and appears to be a more formidable opponent than the 81-year-old candidate she replaced.
Harris was catapulted into the race after Biden announced last month that he was abandoning his re-election campaign.
Trump’s entourage was initially jubilant, expecting weeks of infighting among Democrats. But the party quickly coalesced around the vice president and will show a united front at its convention in Chicago next week.
The result has been a series of polls showing Harris nullifying, or at least controlling, Trump’s clear lead in the polls.
The first presidential debate between the two will be held in Philadelphia on September 10 and will be moderated by ABC News.
The first vice presidential debate between Democratic Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota and Republican Sen. J.D. Vance of Ohio will take place Oct. 1 in New York City and will be broadcast on CBS.