Although October inflation was less than anticipated, American households are still feeling the pinch. The average household spend is $433 per month more to purchase the same goods or services as a year ago.
Although the figures are slightly lower than September’s $445 monthly figure of September, Moody’s Analytics analysis and October inflation data from Moody’s Analytics show that inflation is still exceeding the average budget.
According to The, consumer prices rose 7.7% in October compared to a year ago. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This rate is now lower than the 9.1 percent recorded in June, the last peak. Data suggests that inflation could cool in the future.
Inflation has caused many workers to lose their purchasing power, so wages haven’t kept up.
According to the BLS, hourly earnings decreased by 2.8 percent in the year to Oct.
Even though October’s inflation was lower than expected, American households still feel the pinch. Household spending rose 7.7 percent last year to $433 per month.
The effect on households is not straightforward however. There are personal inflation rates that affect the type of goods and services a person buys as well as other factors like geography.
While October’s rate is down from September, it is still close to the highest level since the 1980s.
The effect on households is not straightforward however. There are personal inflation rates that affect the type of goods and services that people buy and other factors like geography.
Bernard Yaros is an economist at Moody’s. CNBC And stated that the ‘peak in inflation is likely to be over.’
He stated that he is seeing more signs of peak inflation and this should provide some relief to those who have been disproportionately affected by uncomfortably high inflation in the past year.
‘[For example] The younger, rural Americans are just as likely to get a bachelor’s as those who don’t have one.
CNBC interviewed Joseph Bert, a certified Financial Planner who serves as Chairman and CEO of Certified Financial Group.
He stated, “It’s all those small decisions that add up over the course of the month.”
Madeline Maloon from San Ramon, California, told the broadcaster there is less flexibility for cutting fixed expenses.
Maloon instead advised that people who want to save money should not buy unnecessary things.
Bert stated that it is important to avoid financing higher costs via a credit card, withdrawal, or loan from a retirement fund.
“That’s one of the worst things you can do. He said that you’d pay a steep price for this in the years to come.
Last week, President Joe Biden praised the report showing that inflation is on the decline. He called the change ‘progress’ as well as proof of his economic plan’s success.
The October consumer price index was 7.7 percent. This is the fourth consecutive month of declines since June’s 9.1 percent record.
After hitting a record 6.6 percent in September, core inflation (which excludes volatile food and energy prices) fell to 6.3 percent annually.
President Joe Biden Biden said October number shows ‘we are making progress on bringing inflation down’
Biden claimed that the declining number indicates that “we are making progress towards bringing down inflation.”
“My economic plan is showing positive results and Americans can see that we face global economic challenges from an economic position of strength. It will take time to get inflation back to normal levels – and we could see setbacks along the way – but we will keep at it and help families with the cost of living,’ he said in a statement.
Biden also stated that the numbers did not show food prices increasing as fast as they used to. This was a welcome break before the holiday season.
Food prices increased by 0.6% in March, but the pace was slower than previous months.
The increase in the price of food at home was 0.4%, which is the smallest gain since 2021 December. The prices of meats and poultry, eggs, bread, and cereals all increased. However, fruits and vegetables are less expensive.
He also warned Republicans who were preparing to win the majority in the House of representatives that he would oppose any attempt to undo the results. [his] agenda to make inflation worse.
Republicans are already considering reversing portions of the Inflation Reduction Act. This includes its higher taxes on corporations as well as its climate initiatives.
But they would need control over the Senate. Biden still retains his presidential veto pen that can stop any congressional action.
Nearly half of the voters who voted in Tuesday’s midterm elections cited inflation as their number one concern. This is according to VoteCast. VoteCast was a comprehensive survey of over 94,000 voters across the country that was conducted by NORC at The University of Chicago.
About 8 in 10 said the economy was in bad shape, and a slim majority blamed President Joe Biden´s policies for worsening inflation. Just under half said factors beyond Biden´s control, such as Russia´s invasion of Ukraine, were to blame.
Wall Street responded positively to the October numbers that were lower than expected. The Dow Jones Industrial average gained 750 points or 2.31 percent at the open and rose up to 33.264.
Prices for used cars rose sharply last year due to a shortage of computer chips, and fell by 2.4 percent between September and October.
Energy services prices fell due to a monthly drop of 4.6 percent in the cost of natural gas utilities. Natural gas prices have been falling since their peak.
The gasoline price rose 4 percent between September and October, ending three months of monthly declines.
Despite last month’s tentatively easing inflation, it is widely believed that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates to stop price increases.
Economists warn that if the Fed continues to tighten credit, it will likely cause a recession in the next year.
This year, the Fed raised its benchmark rate six times in significant increments. This raises the risk of prohibitively high borrowing costs – such as for auto purchases, mortgages, and other high-cost expenditures – leading to the worst possible economic crisis.
The US annual inflation remained stubbornly high at 7.7 per cent last month, but it fell for the fourth consecutive month.
After several months of declining prices from June’s peak, gasoline prices increased in October.
Many voters were concerned about inflation during the midterm congressional election.
Their economic anxiety is believed to have contributed to the loss of Democratic House seats, but Republicans did not achieve the massive political gains many expected.
Before Thursday’s figures, some measures of inflation had already begun to decrease and could continue to do so over the next few months.
Many gauges of worker wages show, for instance, that the recent strong increases in pay have started to slow down and have begun falling.
While worker pay isn’t the main driver of higher prices in general, it can add to inflationary pressures when companies try to compensate for higher labor costs by charging more customers.
Except for the automakers who are still having trouble getting the computer chips that they need, supply chain disruptions seem to have been largely resolved.
Shipping costs are now back to pre-pandemic levels. The backup of cargo vessels off Long Beach and Los Angeles ports has been removed.
And as declines in new rents that have emerged in real-time measures from such sources as ApartmentList and Zillow begin to be captured in the government´s forthcoming measures, that factor should also reduce inflation.
Despite fears that the economy could fall into recession next fiscal year, the national job market remains resilient.
Employers added an average of 407,000 new jobs per month. The unemployment rate is now just 3.7 percent. This is close to the half-century mark. The number of job openings is still high.
The Fed’s rate rises have done severe damage to the American housing sector.
Over the past year, the average fixed rate for a 30-year mortgage has more than doubled. It reached 7 percent in 2017, before falling slightly last week. As a result, housing investment plunged by 26 percent in the July-September quarter.
Sales have declined due to higher mortgage rates. The decline in home prices is much slower than a year ago. They have also begun to fall monthly. A new apartment lease costs are also decreasing.
Nevertheless, the government’s method of calculating housing costs means that changes in housing prices are often delayed by the consumer price index for several months.
The government determines the cost of all rents. This includes rents under existing leases. However, the rents being asked for in new leases are gradually declining.