The country’s top infectious disease expert says the US is currently on a trajectory of its Indian ‘Delta’ Covid outbreak similar to that in the UK earlier this year.
In a conversation with the Center for Strategic and International Studies on Tuesday, Dr. Anthony Fauci’s recent rise in America, where the average number of cases in the past three weeks has risen 266 percent from 23,000 a day to 85,000.
Meanwhile, in Britain, daily cases have reached a five-week low, after peaking at around 54,000 in mid-July.
Fauci said the US is seeing an increase in people getting vaccinated, but it will likely have a delayed effect on the number of cases.
“Because an acceleration of vaccines does not show results until several weeks later, we are already on a trajectory that is strikingly similar to the sharp slope the UK saw,” he explained.
The director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases also predicted the US would see as many as 200,000 cases a day before the number of infections began to decline.
SCROLL DOWN FOR VIDEO
dr. Anthony Fauci said Tuesday (above) that the US is currently on a trajectory in the recent increase in COVID-19 cases that is “remarkably similar” to the outbreak in the UK
Coronavirus infections in Britain peaked at 54,000 in mid-July and have since fallen to a five-week low of 21,691 on Tuesday, while the US is about three to four weeks behind.
“Remember, we went from an average of about 12 to 15,000 cases per day to 20, 30, 40, 50, 60 — we’re at 70 now,” Fauci said.
“We’ll have between 100 and 200,000 cases before this starts to turn around.”
Fauci’s predictions are similar to those of British Health Secretary Sajid Javid.
When Britain was in the midst of the Delta-driven surge last month, Javid predicted the UK’s number of cases would climb to 100,000 a day before declining.
However, the number of COVID-19 infections never exceeded the 54,674, recorded on July 16, before seeing a decline.
Meanwhile, daily Covid cases in Britain fell to a five-week low on Tuesday.
Figures from the Ministry of Health show that 21,691 virus-related infections have been confirmed in the past 24 hours.
This figure is 7.7 percent lower than last Tuesday and the lowest number of daily cases since the end of June.
Experts say warmer weather and a change in behavior are likely driving the surge in things such as the end of the Euro 2020 football tournament and schools closing for the summer break.
“The rise in cases was partly attributed to the Euro football tournament and social events around watching those matches,” Dr. Stuart Ray, a professor of medicine at Johns Hopkins University, in an interview with DailyMail.com last week.
Fauci says he believes the US will see the average number of cases reach 200,000 a day before the infection begins to decline. Cases are currently at an average of 85,000 per day
Similar forecasts were made for the UK during last month’s surge, but cases never reached this high
‘So the decline is due to a shortage of susceptible people or is it just behavioral change? My guess is behavior change. The great thing about it is that it shows people that behavioral changes can change the course of the pandemic.’
Meanwhile, Fauci said the rise in cases in the US shows the importance of being vaccinated against the virus.
“To make sure that by the time we get into the fall, we don’t keep accelerating, but turn around and come down acutely, we need those 93 million vaccine-eligible people who aren’t getting vaccinated,” H said. .
Last week, former U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb, that he believes the US is further ahead than some experts realize.
“If the UK turns the corner, that’s a pretty good indication that we might be further along than we think and maybe we’re two or three weeks away from our own plateau here in the United States,” he said. told CNBC’s Squawk Box.