A new poll from Michigan shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump tied in the key swing state just over 100 days before Election Day.
According to the Detroit News-WDIV-TV poll taken after Biden dropped out of the presidential race and Harris joined, Harris and Trump are tied at 41 percent each among likely general election voters.
The poll also found that third-party candidate Robert Kennedy Jr., who is running in the state as the “Natural Law Party” candidate, has the support of 10 percent of likely voters. Another 6 percent of voters are undecided.
Zooming in a bit further, Harris is slightly ahead of Trump by a third of a percentage point, but that’s within the margin of error.
The new poll suggests the state of the race in Michigan, which is seen as essential for Democrats to win in November, has undergone a dramatic shift since Biden was still campaigning.
New Michigan poll shows Harris and Trump tied at 41 percent each in battleground state
A similar poll by the group in Michigan six months ago found Biden trailing Trump by eight points in a head-to-head matchup in the state: 47 percent to 39 percent, with three percent of likely voters undecided.
According to the poll released Thursday, Kennedy leads among independent voters, but with only a close split between those who “lean Republican” and those who “lean Democratic.”
He is polling at 27 percent, Harris at 26 percent and Trump at 25 percent among independents, but nearly 18 percent of independents remain undecided.
Independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. has 10 percent support in Michigan polls and is split between Democratic- and Republican-leaning independent voters.
Trump won the state in 2016, but Biden managed to flip it back to the Democratic norm in 2020 by just over 150,000 more votes than the former president. Both Democrats and Republicans have been campaigning intensively in the key state ahead of November.
The poll comes just days after Donald Trump held his first rally in Michigan after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination at the convention in Milwaukee.
His rally in Grand Rapids was also his first with running mate JD Vance, whom he announced at the last minute during the convention.
The Ohio senator’s pick was seen as a move that could help the former president with Rust Belt voters, but the Republican vice presidential nominee’s conservative leanings and anti-abortion stance could be a problem, especially among women in Michigan, where abortion rights were the top issue in the 2022 midterm elections.
Trump with his running mate, Sen. JD Vance, at his rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on July 20.
Meanwhile, Harris has yet to decide who her running mate will be in the face of a looming deadline, as Democratic delegates face an Aug. 7 deadline to officially nominate candidates for the top spots on their ticket.
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s name has been mentioned as a possible vice presidential candidate.
While the governor has endorsed Harris for president and vowed to help her get elected, Whitmer said in an interview this week that she is committed to finishing her second term in the state after being re-elected during the 2022 midterm elections.
Vice President Harris arrives at a campaign event in Kalamazoo, Michigan, on July 17.
President Biden held a rally in Detroit just over a week before he dropped out of the presidential race. Harris made a campaign stop in Kalamazoo just over a week ago, when she was still the presumptive vice presidential candidate.
While Whitmer has already been promoting Harris in the state, the vice president has not yet set a date to return to Michigan as a presumptive presidential candidate.