- A new poll released Monday indicates that many Black voters are considering not voting in the 2024 election.
- It found that one in four young black voters have considered withholding their vote as an act of protest.
- Black voters were critical to Biden winning in 2020, with more than 90 percent backing him against Donald Trump.
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A new poll indicates that a group of Joe Biden’s staunchest supporters, Black Americans, are not very enthusiastic about voting in 2024, possibly spelling trouble for the president’s re-election effort.
After losing the first two primaries of 2020, Black voters gave Biden his first primary victory in South Carolina.
That defining moment galvanized Biden’s campaign and helped him beat a crowded field to secure the nomination and then the presidency. More than 80 percent of Black voters backed Biden in 2020.
Now, as Biden has a firm grip on the Democratic Party as he heads into a rematch against former President Donald Trump, that cohort of Black voters may not show up.
TO survey published Monday in In Our Own Voice: National Black Women’s Reproductive Justice Agenda with PerryUndem found that only 59 percent of Black voters are “almost certain” to vote this fall and 12 percent “probably” will vote.
The results indicate that about 40 percent of Black voters are unsure about voting in the 2024 election.
President Joe Biden relied on the votes of Black Americans to secure his victory in 2020.
Rep. Jim Clyburn, D.S.C., helped Biden with Black voters in his home state in 2020, preparing the campaign for a victorious march to the Democratic nomination.
Additionally, 30 percent of respondents indicated that the upcoming elections are not that important.
And while Biden has ostracized some potential supporters for their stance on the war between Israel and Hamas, some voters revealed that they had considered withholding their vote as an act of protest.
According to the survey, nearly 20 percent said they had considered withholding their vote.
That figure jumps to 25 percent among younger voters.
Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict sharply divided Black voters, with a third approving of his response, a third disapproving and a third unsure.
The survey, which surveyed more than 1,000 Black adults, also provided insight into how the president is performing with younger votes.
Only 38 percent of voters ages 18 to 29 said they were almost certain to vote, while only 17 percent indicated they would probably vote.
That means nearly half of Black voters in that age group are not committed to voting this cycle.
When asked if they should vote immediately, only 44 percent of young black voters said they would vote Democratic.
Of that group, 37 percent said they were unsure or would not vote.
When accounting for all respondents, 63 percent have a favorable opinion of Joe Biden, while 35 percent view him unfavorably.
The number one issue for Black voters in 2024 is the cost of living.
Racial justice, health care and education were also among the top voting concerns.
US President Joe Biden greets family for discussion on student loan debt forgiveness
Former President Donald Trump has recently gained support among black voters
Trump, on the other hand, has recently surged among black voters.
A March New York Times/Siena poll showed that 23 percent of black voters would vote for the former president.
A similar poll conducted by the same companies in July 2023 found that 12 percent of black voters would vote for Trump, indicating that he is gaining votes as his campaign progresses.
Additionally, an AP-NORC poll from December found that 25 percent of black voters approved of Trump, up from 18 percent in 2021.
In the 2020 election, only eight percent of black Americans voted for Trump, according to Bank investigation data.