Unfavorable weather conditions on election day can decrease voter turnout and influence people’s decisions, experts revealed.
On Tuesday, several areas from the Great Lakes to the east Texas, including two key states, is forecast to experience rain and thunderstorms, according to The weather channel.
Voters in Michigan and Wisconsin may have to endure gusty winds and rain to cast their ballots.
The cold front will move through the center of the country, making rain likely from the Great Lakes and upper Midwest to the lower Mississippi Valley.
Some sections of the Texas and Louisiana coast could also be affected by the gloomy weather.
Voters from the Great Lakes to East Texas may need their umbrellas to vote
Several areas of the US, including the swing states of Wisconsin and Michigan, may experience showers and storms on Election Day.
Voters in Florida, southern Appalachia and upper New England may also need umbrellas and rain boots to get to their polling places.
Forecasters are anticipating snow in the northern and central Rocky Mountains, according to The Weather Channel.
Political strategist Bradley Tusk told DailyMail.com that storms can influence how voters feel and even whether they show up to vote.
Research has shown that rainfall negatively affects voter turnout. One study estimated that for every centimeter of rain that falls on voting day, turnout drops by 0.95 percentage points.
While this may seem like an incremental impact, heavy rain or extreme weather in a swing state could, in theory, reduce turnout significantly enough to alter the results of an election.
According to experts, Democratic voters are more likely than Republicans to be deterred from voting on a rainy day.
Experts said rain can not only prevent people from voting, but also influence their mood and influence which candidate they want to vote for.
Political expert Adam Cayton told The Weather Channel: “Democratic voters are concentrated in urban areas, which means they are more likely to walk to the polls than Republicans and are more likely to have to stand outside if they wait in line.” .
Tusk echoed this sentiment, saying that “lower voter turnout works better for Republicans” because more people tend to vote Democratic.
He added that the rain and gloom can simply put people in a bad mood, considering the way they vote.
When an undecided voter goes to the polls feeling pessimistic, they may be more inclined to vote for a candidate whose campaign is based on pessimism, Tusk said.
According to recent polls, Kamala Harris has a slight lead over Trump in key battleground states.
He stated that Trump’s campaign strategy falls into that pessimistic category, while Harris’ messages revolve around optimism and hope for the future.
“If you went to the polling place on a miserable day and you were really undecided, from a purely subconscious standpoint, you could say that would benefit Trump,” Tusk said.
The candidate chosen to be the next president of the United States will ultimately be determined by the seven swing states: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona.
According to DailyMail.com’s poll tracker, the margins in each of the battlegrounds are razor-thin, and the call between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris could be decided by just a few thousand votes.
A new poll found that Harris may have a slight lead over Trump in “blue wall” states.
Donald Trump could benefit from bad weather in swing states as experts revealed Democrats are more likely than Republicans to let rain stop them from voting
The Marist poll found Harris three points ahead of Trump in Michigan among likely voters, 51 percent to 48 percent.
It also shows her ahead in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by two points, with 50 percent to Trump’s 48 percent in each.
All three are within the margin of error. But if the vice president secures the three “blue wall” states, she will obtain the 270 electoral votes necessary to win the White House.
