- Our electoral model gives Donald Trump a 55 percent chance of electoral victory
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Donald Trump knows why world leaders are clamoring to gather at Trump Tower: It’s because he’s the favorite to win the November election.
And he cited DailyMail.com/JL Partners’ election model, which on Wednesday gave him a 55 percent chance of beating Kamala Harris, who is at 45 percent, as evidence of his rise in the polls.
He made his comments at the end of a press conference on the ground floor of Trump Tower.
The former president announced that he would meet with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer later that night and then sit down with Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelensky on Friday morning.
‘Many of the leaders have been calling me. They want to meet,’ he said.
Former President Donald Trump spoke to reporters at Trump Tower on Thursday afternoon.
‘I guess they see the polls. We are very seriously leading the polls.
“The Daily Mail has just published a very important poll and we are ahead by 10.”
In fact, our electoral model analyzes the latest poll numbers, along with decades of voting figures and economic statistics, to try to predict who has the best chance of winning the electoral college.
Last week, Harris had moved forward slightly after a heated debate. The numbers suggested he had a 50.2 percent chance of victory.
But since then, a series of polls in swing states have seen Trump regain the momentum he enjoyed earlier in the year.
The race remains close and Harris is on track to win the popular vote.
However, the results led some analysts to wonder whether Harris, catapulted into the race when President Joe Biden dropped out in July, may have already enjoyed her best weeks.
“If current trends continue (although they have only been in place for about a week), then we may see Trump take a more concrete lead in the race in the coming weeks,” said JL Partners data scientist Callum Hunter.
“September appears to have been Harris’ high point and trends suggest this high point has come to an end.”
Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelensky has been meeting with American leaders after addressing the United Nations General Assembly in New York. He will meet with Trump on Friday
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer will meet Trump on Thursday night.
It means Trump is in demand as world leaders hedge their bets and try to build relationships, or at least open lines of communication, with the man who could become the 47th president.
Dozens and dozens of presidents and prime ministers are in town for the annual UN leaders meeting just blocks from Trump’s base in New York.
He was scheduled to meet Polish President Andrzej Duda over the weekend during a campaign event, but it was cancelled.
The former president hosted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at his Mar-a-Lago home in July.
And he also entertained former British Prime Minister David Cameron, when he was Foreign Secretary, in April.
In addition to being an opportunity to build a relationship with a potential future president, Trump is seen as a key influence on Republican foreign policy, making him a useful stop for visiting politicians seeking to maintain US support for Ukraine. or promote a ceasefire in the Middle East. .