Forty-five percent of U.S. counties are currently battling uncontrollable COVID-19 outbreaks, according to a data chart – as the latest models predict that deaths will increase by at least 20,000 over the next four weeks.
The data card, compiled by a spatial analysis company Esrishows an “epidemic trend” or uncontrollable spread of coronavirus cases in the Sun Belt states and parts of the Midwest.
Of the 3,141 counties in the United States, 1,415 are currently in an epidemic and 1,103 are growing trends, an outbreak that can still be controlled if preventative measures are taken, the data shows.
Only a handful of states – including Arizona, Louisiana, Alabama, Florida, and South Carolina – experience epidemic or sprawling trends only.
Mississippi, Arkansas, Georgia, North Carolina, and Tennessee are the states where only one or two counties currently see no uncontrollable distribution.
Texas and California – two hotspot states – have a handful of counties that have monitored the spread, according to the data map.
Forty-five percent of United States counties are currently experiencing uncontrollable or “epidemic” COVID-19 outbreaks, a data card compiled by Esri spatial analysis company shows
Currently, the number of infections in the United States is over 3.4 million and more than 137,000 Americans have died from the virus.
According to the latest models, the number of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. will continue to rise – even though a research team suggests that the almost universal use of masks could save 40,000 lives between now and November.
The country is expected to reach 151,000 by August 1 and 157,000 by August 8, according to an average of 23 U.S. and international research groups.
The figures published by the University of Massachusetts The Amherst Reichlab is one of the forecasts the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention rely on.
A week ago, this average predicted 147,000 deaths on August 1.
California, Florida and Texas, the country’s three most populous states, are said to die 1,000 more in the next four weeks, compared to the previous four.
Meanwhile, a recently revised model from the University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation projects, the death toll will rise just above 224,000 by November 1 – an increase of 16,000 from a previous forecast – due to mounting infections and hospitalizations in many states.
The latest forecast predicts that the death toll could be reduced by 40,000 if almost all Americans wore masks in public.
According to the latest model projects, the number of COVID-19 deaths should be 151,000 by August 1 and 157,000 by August 8, according to an average of models from 23 US and international research groups
A recently revised model from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation projects that the death toll will rise to just above 224,000 by November 1 – up from 16,000 from a previous forecast. The model predicts that the death toll could be reduced by 40,000 if almost all Americans wore masks in public
The use of masks is on the rise, but not as high as it should be. If 95 percent of Americans wore masks every time they left home, the number of infections decreased, the number of hospitalizations decreased, and the expected mortality decreased, “said IHME researchers.
The IHME’s new forecast came after Alabama, Florida and North Carolina reported Tuesday that a record number of deaths from COVID-19 had been recorded daily, marking a grim new milestone for a second wave of infections affecting much of the world. country ruled.
The new IHME forecast – 224,089 US lives lost on November 1 – was revised upward from the 208,254 deaths predicted on July 7.
The IHME projections have been cited in the past by the White House and are closely monitored by public health officials.
It comes as the United States sets a new record for new cases of coronavirus after reaching a one-day peak of 67,400, with nearly half of those infections coming from Texas, Florida and California.
In hotspot states, daily cases have risen in recent weeks, and in the U.S., an average of about 60,000 infections a day are now treated.
Forty-six states reported more new cases of COVID-19 last week compared to the previous week, according to a Reuters analysis of data from The COVID Tracking Project.
Nationally, new COVID-19 cases have increased every week for six weeks. In New York, Tennessee, New Jersey and Delaware, business is only weekly.
With the virus spreading rapidly in the southern and western states, one of the country’s top public health officials offered conflicting theories as to what caused the outbreak.
Forty-six states reported more new cases of COVID-19 last week compared to the previous week, according to a Reuters analysis of data from The COVID Tracking Project
CDC director Robert Redfield says the current spike in COVID-19 infections in the south may have been caused by people from the northeast who have been on vacation there and not states that are opening too soon again.
Redfield, addressing the alarming wave of coronavirus cases, said on Tuesday that infections in Sun Belt states “more or less pop at the same time” in the second week of June after reopening in several stages.
Redfield compared it to the first northeastern outbreak in March, which he says spread from the New York epicenter to several states.
“We’ve tried to give states guidelines on safe reopening. I think the guidance we provided was really good, ‘he said in an interview with Dr. Howard Bauchner from The Journal of the American Medical Association.
“I think if you look critically, few states have actually followed that directive, although I think the reopening is not the driving force behind the current southern enlargement.
“If you look south, everything happened between June 12 and June 16. It all came out of the blue.
“We believe there was something else that was the driver. Maybe Memorial Day, not the weekend, but Memorial Day week, where many northerners decided to head south for vacations. ‘
Redfield said some states in the south did not take social distance measures as seriously as other parts of the country when they reopened because they did not have massive outbreaks.
This allowed the virus to spread quickly once introduced and settle in southern states, Redfield said.
“In mid-June, something we are dealing with now happened. It’s not as simple as saying it was related to the time of reopening and not reopening, “he said.
Redfield has not provided data to support its claim that vacationers in the Northeast may be partly responsible for the current wave of business.
CDC officials said there are several possible explanations and that Redfield only offered one.
Redfield said he believes the US can get COVID-19 under control in four to eight weeks if all Americans wear a mask and keep social distance.