Coronavirus cases continue to decline across the country as the US nears the end of the fourth wave of the pandemic.
On Thursday, officials recorded 157,957 new cases of COVID-19 with a seven-day moving average of 155,523, up 10 percent from the 140,567 average reported on August 19.
In the same period last month, however, new infections had risen 212 percent over a four-week period.
This means that while the total number of cases has increased from mid-August, the growth rate has slowed significantly to its lowest since early summer.
Nearly half of US states have seen Covid infections decrease or stabilize in the past two weeks, a DailyMail.com analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University shows.
In addition, the number of hospital admissions fell from 101,634 last week to 93,703, a seven percent drop, according to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS).
However, the death toll continues to climb with 3,393 virus-related fatalities on Thursday and a seven-day moving average of 1,993.
This is a 133 percent increase from the 852 average deaths recorded a month ago and the highest average since February.
However, experts say deaths are a lagging indicator and often don’t start to decline until three or four weeks after cases and hospitalizations.
Despite one-off hot spots including Arkansas, Florida, Louisiana and Mississippi now reporting declines, a few states are still experiencing increases — including Montana, Tennessee and West Virginia — due to low vaccination rates.
On Thursday, the US registered 157,957 new cases of Covid with a seven-day moving average of 140,567, a 10% increase from the 137,058 average reported a month ago, down from the 212% increase in the average reported on Thursday. a period of four weeks last month
COVID-19 hospitalizations are also down 7% from 101,634 last week to 93,703, according to HHS
Deaths continue to climb with 3,393 virus-related fatalities on Thursday and a seven-day moving average of 1,993, a 133% increase from a month ago and the highest average since February
Public health experts and physicians say the decline is likely due to the country having high levels of hybrid immunity with 180.1 million Americans fully vaccinated and an estimated 120.2 million true infections — though there is a there is a good chance of some crossover.
“This is good news,” said Dr. Arturo Casadevall, chair of molecular microbiology and immunology at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. CNBC.
“It could mean we’ve peaked and we’re on the way down now.”
America has seen several peaks and troughs in daily average COVID-19 cases since the start of the pandemic.
The average number of cases reached nearly 32,000 in early April 2020, before declining. The number of infections rose again during the summer, peaking at 66,800 in July 2020 before falling.
The deadly third wave then hit in the fall, and the country saw its highest-ever average number of cases at 247,500 in mid-January. The cases decreased again until the end of June, when the Delta variety became the dominant species.
“Every epidemic goes through cycles and eventually decreases, and that happens when you have enough people who are resistant,” Casadevall said.
But Casadevall warned against proclaiming victory too soon and continuing to follow mitigation measures — and the unvaccinated Americans will continue to get shots.
“I would be cautious about declaring anything but a certain amount of optimism with the numbers falling,” he told CNBC.
Despite the overall good picture for the country, increases continue to occur in some states due to few restrictions and low vaccination coverage.
In Tennessee, the average daily Covid cases currently sit at 10,664, up 129 percent from 4,648 average cases in the past month, according to data from Johns Hopkins.
The Voluntary State currently has the highest rate of infections per capita with a seven-day average of 760.6 cases per 100,000 people, CDC figures show.
“We don’t really know how bad it will get or how bad it will last,” Dr. James Shamiyeh, senior vice president of the University of Tennessee Medical Center, told the newspaper. Knoxville News Sentinel.
“There’s really no extra staff to bring in from outside the community. There are limits to what we can do.’
In Tennessee, average daily Covid cases currently sit at 10,664, a 129% increase from 4,648 average cases in the past month
The average number of cases in West Virginia, which has the lowest vaccination rate in the country, has risen 173% in the past month from 634 per day to 1,734 per day
Cases are also on the rise in Montana, with an average of 918 infections per day, an increase of 185% from 322
CDC data shows that only 43.8 percent of Tennessee’s total population is fully vaccinated, below the national average of 54.2 percent.
‘Vaccinate. vaccinate. vaccinate. Please consider the vaccine,” Dr. Harold Naramore, medical director of Blount Memorial Hospital told News Sentinel.
“The truth is, if you get the vaccine, you most likely won’t come to the hospital.”
In nearby West Virginia, average infections have risen 173 percent in the past month from 634 per day to 1,734 per day, according to Johns Hopkins.
The state has the second highest number of cases per capital city at 743.5 per 100,000 on a seven-day average, CDC data shows.
at a Press conference on Wednesday, Gov Jim Justice reported that West Virginia has identified a new record number of COVID-19 in 893 patients, as well as a record number of those in intensive care units (ICUs) in 275 patients.
Justice revealed that nearly 85 percent of those in hospital have not been vaccinated, as are at least 90 percent of those occupying ICU beds.
“We know that for the most part we are dealing with a disease that affects the unvaccinated,” he said.
“If you haven’t been vaccinated yet, you need to make a good decision now and get vaccinated.”
The Mountain State currently has the worst Covid vaccination rate in the country, with only 40 percent of the total population fully vaccinated.
‘You see, there is no escaping it. It’s everywhere,” Justice said. “The only way you really stand a good chance of getting rid of it is by getting vaccinated.”
Cases are also on the rise in Montana, with an average of 918 infections per day, an increase of 185 percent from 322.
Montana has a high transmission rate with about 527.4 cases per 100,000 people, but only 47.5 percent of residents are fully vaccinated.
According to Dr. Nathan Allen, an ER physician at Billings Clinic, 90 percent of patients admitted to hospitals with Covid are not vaccinated. MTPR.
The hospital says it is considering introducing “crisis care standards” to accommodate the recent increase in patients in the northwestern part of the state.
This protocol allows hospitals to prioritize patients with a greater chance of survival and less care for others.
“It’s still unreal to see a tragedy like this happen in front of you that you hoped would never happen to your community,” Allen told MTPR.