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Covid-19 cases declined BEFORE lockdowns were introduced

Covid-19 cases in the US fell before states imposed lockdowns, according to a study that suggests less draconian measures may be enough to address the crisis.

Researchers at John Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland analyzed data from 25 of the counties most affected by the coronavirus in March and April.

They discovered a decline in social interaction, before state-wide quarantines were introduced, “20 of them greatly reduced Covid-19 case growth.”

The scientists say their results show that simple social distance measures can make the U.S. tick without a second wave of the epidemic until a vaccine is ready.

But it comes the same day that the U.S. reported 50,000 new cases of coronaviruses within 24 hours as the country opens again.

President Donald Trump claims that the spike is simply a by-product of the nation increasing its testing capacity and seeing people previously missed.

But Professor Anthony Fauci, the White House’s top virus advisor, claimed that the U.S. never got the first wave under control because the lockdown was lifted too quickly and was never strict enough in the first place.

The dotted vertical lines indicate when lockdown orders were imposed in each of the states, indicating that the movement had decreased in all 25 counties surveyed before measures were introduced

The dotted vertical lines indicate when lockdown orders were imposed in each of the states, indicating that the movement had decreased in all 25 counties surveyed before measures were introduced

The straight lines in the graph above represent the 25 different provinces (above)

The straight lines in the graph above represent the 25 different provinces (above)

The straight lines in the graph above represent the 25 different provinces (above)

Cases fell before lockdowns: Covid's growth rate - how much the outbreak shrinks or grows every day - has already declined by the time lockdowns were imposed (between mid and late March)

Cases fell before lockdowns: Covid's growth rate - how much the outbreak shrinks or grows every day - has already declined by the time lockdowns were imposed (between mid and late March)

Cases fell before lockdowns: Covid’s growth rate – how much the outbreak shrinks or grows every day – has already declined by the time lockdowns were imposed (between mid and late March)

For the latest study, published in the Lancet, researchers used human cell phone motion data as an indicator of social distance.

Daily data was collected from January 1 to April 20 in mobile network records in 25 counties with the highest incidence of Covid-19 at that time.

The researchers found that in mid-April, people traveled between 35 and 63 percent less than before the pandemic.

Then they used mathematical models to calculate how these drops in motion affected the spread of the virus.

America now records daily totals well ahead of the first wave, with a total of over 2.5 million cases, the highest number anywhere in the world

America now records daily totals well ahead of the first wave, with a total of over 2.5 million cases, the highest number anywhere in the world

America now records daily totals well ahead of the first wave, with a total of over 2.5 million cases, the highest number anywhere in the world

The number of new daily cases of coronavirus in the US is 52,000 for the first time

According to data from Johns Hopkins University, the US has seen a record 52,000 new COVID-19 cases within 24 hours on Wednesday.

The rise marks a new one-day record of infections as states reopen across the country.

According to the tracker, there were 52,898 new cases in the 24 hours to Wednesday night. The total number of COVID-19 cases in the United States was 2,686,249 on Thursday morning and the number of deaths was 128,062.

The number of daily coronavirus cases has remained around 40,000 in recent days. The news comes as more than 44,000 new cases of COVID-19 were confirmed in the US on Tuesday.

In addition to the increase in the number of cases, hospital admissions for COVID-19 are also increasing in Houston, Texas and Phoenix, Arizona.

On Wednesday alone, Texas broke its daily record, recording 8,076 new cases, which is nearly 1,000 more than the day before.

The startling spikes in business have forced states like Texas, California and Florida to pin down and stop their reopenings.

On Wednesday, California Governor Gavin Newsom ordered all bars, indoor restaurant operations and movie theaters to close immediately in most parts of the states, nearly three weeks after the state’s bars, shops, restaurants, and salons were first opened after a three-month lockdown.

Since then, the number of COVID-19 cases has started to rise again, rising nearly 50 percent in the past two weeks, peaking at 43 percent in hospital admissions.

Contrary to data, President Donald Trump claimed the virus will simply disappear on Wednesday during an interview with Fox Business.

“I think we’ll get a vaccine soon,” he said.

“We’re going back very strongly … And I think we’ll be very good with the corona virus. I think that will just disappear at some point. I hope, ”he added.

It found a “ significant ” drop in Covid-19 cases between nine and 12 days after movements decreased by a third to two thirds.

Lead author Professor Lauren Gardner, of John Hopkins, said, “Our results strongly support the conclusion that social distancing in March and April played a critical role in curbing the growth of cases in multiple U.S. counties, and is therefore an effective mitigation policy for Covid-19 in the United States.

“We also found it critical that behavioral changes were already underway in many US counties, days to weeks, before policies were implemented at state or local level at home.”

“If measures had not been taken at an individual level, and remote behavior had slowed down until the guidelines were implemented at the state level, Covid-19 could have circulated without extra weeks in some locations, which would inevitably lead to more infections and deaths. This shows that it is within the power of any US resident to slow the spread of Covid-19. ‘

Since the study only looked at mobile data, the scientists say other measures to combat infection, such as wearing a mask and washing hands, are not taken into account.

The researchers also noted that there may be errors in the case data due to reporting issues and limited Covid-19 testing capacity in the early stages of the pandemic.

Americans were advised to work from home in March where they could and socially away from others.

But the decentralized system in the U.S. allowed states to decide whether to impose full lockdowns.

When and how home policies were implemented at the provincial and state levels varied considerably, making the effectiveness of social distance difficult to assess.

It comes after the U.S. reported a record of 52,898 new Covid-19 cases within 24 hours on Wednesday.

The total number of Covid-19 cases in the United States was 2,686,249 on Thursday morning and the number of deaths was 128,062.

The number of daily coronavirus cases has remained around 40,000 in recent days. More than 44,000 new Covid-19 cases were confirmed in the US on Tuesday.

Professor Fauci, the White House’s top virus advisor, said the ‘very disturbing’ new increase in cases is partly due to the fact that the US never got the first wave under control – only about 50 percent of the country locked to 97 percent as happened in most of Europe, where daily infections are now very low.

That meant that when the economy began to reopen, the virus spread quickly almost immediately because there were still a large number of infected people to pass on the disease, he said BBC Radio 4 in the United Kingdom.

But he added that the turnout is also driven by people, especially young people, who gather in large groups, without socially distancing themselves, and often without wearing masks – such as in bars, on beaches and during protests.

“What happens if you do that and you don’t wear a mask, you get the kind of outbreak we see,” he said.

On Wednesday alone, Texas broke its daily record, recording 8,076 new cases, which is nearly 1,000 more than the day before.

The startling spikes in business have forced states like Texas, California and Florida to pin down and stop their reopenings.

On Wednesday, California Governor Gavin Newsom ordered all bars, indoor restaurant operations and movie theaters to close immediately in most parts of the states, nearly three weeks after the state’s bars, shops, restaurants, and salons were first opened after a three-month lockdown.

Since then, the number of COVID-19 cases has started to rise again, rising nearly 50 percent in the past two weeks, peaking at 43 percent in hospital admissions.

Dr.  Anthony Fauci has warned that a 'troubling' new spike of coronavirus cases in the US is caused by ineffective closings and people - especially young people - gathering in large groups on beaches, bars and protests (pictured, people on Hollywood Beach in Florida on Sunday)

Dr.  Anthony Fauci has warned that a 'troubling' new spike of coronavirus cases in the US is caused by ineffective closings and people - especially young people - gathering in large groups on beaches, bars and protests (pictured, people on Hollywood Beach in Florida on Sunday)

Dr. Anthony Fauci has warned that a ‘troubling’ new spike of coronavirus cases in the US is caused by ineffective closings and people – especially young people – gathering in large groups on beaches, bars and protests (pictured, people on Hollywood Beach in Florida on Sunday)

According to data from Johns Hopkins University, the US has seen a record 52,000 new COVID-19 cases within 24 hours on Wednesday.  This map shows the concentration of coronavirus cases in the US.

According to data from Johns Hopkins University, the US has seen a record 52,000 new COVID-19 cases within 24 hours on Wednesday.  This map shows the concentration of coronavirus cases in the US.

According to data from Johns Hopkins University, the US has seen a record 52,000 new COVID-19 cases within 24 hours on Wednesday. This map shows the concentration of coronavirus cases in the US.

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