Home Sports Revealed: EVERY team’s updated chances of winning Champions League is calculated by Opta’s supercomputer – with the Road to Wembley now fully mapped out – so who are the biggest losers?

Revealed: EVERY team’s updated chances of winning Champions League is calculated by Opta’s supercomputer – with the Road to Wembley now fully mapped out – so who are the biggest losers?

by Alexander
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Manchester City have been named favorites to reach the Champions League final by an infamous supercomputer
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  • Arsenal and Bayern Munich fans might feel dizzy reading their perspectives
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Manchester City are favorites to win the Champions League, as revealed by the mystical powers of a supercomputer.

Pep Guardiola’s team has a 29.46 per cent chance of winning a second consecutive Champions League, says the infamous computer.

Statisticians have been working with advanced technology to forecast the ups and downs of the European season so far, and have had some notable successes.

The supercomputer successfully predicted Manchester United’s demise when they needed to beat Bayern Munich in their final group stage match.

While City are doing quite well in their latest statistical woes, the reading is not as encouraging for Arsenal or Harry Kane’s Bayern.

Manchester City have been named favorites to reach the Champions League final by an infamous supercomputer

Manchester City have been named favorites to reach the Champions League final by an infamous supercomputer

Pep Guardiola's team has a 29.46 percent chance of winning according to the supercomputer

Pep Guardiola's team has a 29.46 percent chance of winning according to the supercomputer

Pep Guardiola’s team has a 29.46 percent chance of winning according to the supercomputer

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The supercomputer gave a 10.92 percent probability of Arsenal winning the tournament for the first time, while Bayern are left with 9.39 percent.

Qualified Champions League opportunities

Percentage chance of winning:

1) Manchester City: 29.46 percent

2) PSG: 16.15 percent

3) Real Madrid: 13.06 percent

4) Arsenal: 10.92 percent

5) Bayern Munich: 9.39 percent

6) Borussia Dortmund: 7.86 percent

7) Barcelona – 7.11 percent

8) Atlético de Madrid: 6.05 percent

This places the two teams, who will meet in the quarterfinals, fourth and fifth in the standings.

Even worse for Bayern, they have a minimal chance of reaching the final: 16.37 percent.

PSG are the second favorite to lift the trophy, with a solid 16.15 percent chance.

Meanwhile, Real Madrid have been assigned a 13.06 per cent chance of lifting the Old Ears again.

One imagines that the 14-time winners, led by Carlo Ancelotti, who has also won it four times, will have something to say about such a paltry percentage.

They will face Manchester City in the quarter-finals and will be desperate to frustrate the relative European upstarts.

However, the supercomputer doesn’t fancy Jude Bellingham’s team advancing, giving them just a 37.63 per cent chance of advancing beyond the quarter-finals.

At the lower end of the odds is Borussia Dortmund with a 7.86 percent chance and ranking sixth.

Bayern Munich have been given just a 9.39 per cent chance of repeating their 2020 exploits.

Bayern Munich have been given just a 9.39 per cent chance of repeating their 2020 exploits.

Bayern Munich have been given just a 9.39 per cent chance of repeating their 2020 exploits.

Arsenal are fourth favorites to claim the prize but have less than a 20 per cent chance of reaching the final.

Arsenal are fourth favorites to claim the prize but have less than a 20 per cent chance of reaching the final.

Arsenal are fourth favorites to claim the prize but have less than a 20 per cent chance of reaching the final.

Perhaps Jadon Sancho will accept that, especially considering United’s chances are now 0 per cent, as the supercomputer kindly points out.

That leaves Barcelona and Atlético Madrid fighting for the slimmest chances of winning, with 7.11 and 6.05 percent chances of winning.

Diego Simeone has twice been runner-up as Atlético coach and has already seen his team achieve a great victory, eliminating last year’s finalist, Inter Milan, on penalties.

Atlético have earned a reputation as a brave, stingy team that can beat anyone in recent seasons: in 2019/20 they also eliminated Liverpool in the round of 16, a year after having won it all.



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