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Cheltenham Festival 2020 Day 2: Robin Goodfellow’s racing tips – best bets for Thursday March 12

Guest columnist Jane Mangan and Formcast (Nigel Taylor) continue their brilliant start to Cheltenham with a host of big race winners on day two.

Mangan selected Aramax (15-2), Easysland (3-1), Champ (4-1) and Envoi Allen (4-7) to give a great tip while Taylor was in shape with Envoi Allen, Champ and Dame De Compagnie (5-1 naps).

Sportsmail’s racing expert Robin Goodfellow, eight-time champion jockey Peter Scudamore, British No. 1 horseguard Ken Pitterson and Irish expert Mangan share their tips for day three of the Cheltenham Festival with the Stayers’ Hurdle.

Stayers' Hurdle champion Paisley Park has achieved an impressive run of seven wins

Stayers’ Hurdle champion Paisley Park has achieved an impressive run of seven wins

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL DAY THREE

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.30 itchy feet

2.10 Father Du Berlais (nb)

2.50 A Plus Tard

3.30 Paisley Park

4.10 Happy Diva

4.50 Minella Melody

5.30 Le Breuil (nap)

GIMCRACK

1.30 Faugheen

2.10 Kilbricken Storm

2.50 A Plus Tard (nap)

3.30 Paisley Park

4.10 Simply The Betts (nb)

4.50 Minella Melody

5.30 Deise Aba

MARSH NOVICES ‘HUNT

(1.30: GRADE ONE – 2 MILES 3 FURLONGS)

Olly Murphy wasn’t very lucky with Brewin ‘upastorm in the Arkle Chase, but ITCHY FEET may offer some compensation with a daring show, having won a Grade One award in style last time.

Seven of the last nine winners of this race had won a Graded Novice Chase and eight of the nine had also walked at the previous season’s Festival, so the fine third of the selection in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle ticks that box .

While both Itchy Feet chases have come up on right-handed tracks, he has excellent Cheltenham form over hurdles and his performance in the Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase last time was a career best.

Having saddled four previous winners of the race, the Willie Mullins contingent is respected, and Faugheen will certainly prove to be an emotional winner if he can achieve that feat at the age of 12. But he didn’t convince in Leopardstown last time and may be vulnerable to the younger legs of itchy feet and Mr. Fisher. The latter is a major threat with a solid course thanks to a victory before Christmas. He also won a nice win at Doncaster in Graded Company last time.

SELECTION: Itchy feet 4-1

DANGER: MISTER FISHER 9-2

PERTEMPS NETWORK FACE

(2.10: LISTED – 2 MILES 7 FURLONGS)

The Pertemps qualification in Leopardstown at Christmas could be key to this race, as it featured some eye-catching achievements, not least the closing efforts of The Storyteller and last year’s winner du berlais.

The first, who was already a winner on fences at the Festival, got a wonderful ride from Davy Russel l to sneak home from a non-promising position to the final qualifying spot. Father De Berlais found a lot of trouble running at this event 12 months ago, but still had the quality to get course specialist Tobefair with a little in hand and take a big gamble.

Although Father Du Berlais did not manage to make his spot for a repeat bid in Leopardstown, he did well to finish as close to the winner as he did given his position with two hurdles to jump, and a similar finish effort at Warwick in January secured his place in today’s field.

Trainer Gordon Elliott used the first cheek pads 12 months ago, and a switch to the blinkers could be the catalyst for his eight-year-old to produce another big screen. Others to keep in mind are Tout Est Permis (fourth in Leopardstown), who represents the jockey-trainer combination that won Leinster National last Sunday. Skandiburg and Rapper appear to be two of the house’s contingents, with their effectiveness on the track assured, while the race’s bet, Relegate, is undeniably handled well when its hurdle ends.

SELECTION: SIRE DU BERLAIS 8-1

DANGER: THE STORY COUNTER 11-2

A Plus Tard can claim a seventh consecutive success for French-based pursuers in Ryanair Chase

A Plus Tard can claim a seventh consecutive success for French-based pursuers in Ryanair Chase

A Plus Tard can claim a seventh consecutive success for French-based pursuers in Ryanair Chase

RYANAIR HUNT

(2.50: GRADE ONE – 2 MILES 5 FURLONGS)

Last year’s winners, Frodon, Min and Aso, have to make sure that this intriguing event is held in a fair gallop and that will likely fit A PLUS TARD who can follow the pace before jumping.

Although the selection is slightly younger than the ideal profile for this race, it is a precocious French fighter and horses from across the Channel have won the last six innovations.

His defeat of the talented Chacun Pour Soi in Leopardstown over Christmas was emphatic and echoed his performance in last season’s novice chase during this encounter, which he turned into a routine. His stable has made a brilliant start to the week overall, and he’s judging a confident roster to claim another Grade One success.

Min remains very capable in his day and should still have a good account, while Riders Onthe Storm would be a major threat to all his efforts this season since moving to Nigel Twiston-Davies. However, confidence in his chance is tempered because the Ascot conditions he plowed last to win were brutal and may have left their mark.

SELECTION: A PLUS TARD 7-4

DANGER: FRODON 5-1

Paisley Park aims for a second consecutive Stayers' Hurdle victory on Thursday

Paisley Park aims for a second consecutive Stayers' Hurdle victory on Thursday

Paisley Park aims for a second consecutive Stayers’ Hurdle victory on Thursday

THE COMPANY OF STAYERS

(3.30: GRADE ONE – 2 MILE 7 FURLONGS)

Not much can be said about the mighty PAISLEY PARK that has not yet been said. Since October 2018, the Stayers’ Hurdle champion has put together a series of impressive performances to bring his winning streak to seven.

His ability to win in small field trials without his strong gallop is further proof that he is developing as a hurdler. This race has a history of multiple winners and it will undoubtedly be the shock of the week if Paisley Park is beaten here. Of his rivals, City Island – winner of last year’s Ballymore Hurdle at the Festival – hasn’t had much impact on fences this winter, but he could be a living contender for the frame if his recent wind operation helps his breathing. He stayed strong to beat Champ 12 months ago, so he could reward an investment in any direction.

Ronald Pump won’t be on many shortlists for this race as he has practiced his profession in disabilities and novice chases over the past few seasons, but he ran a blinder in a strong Pertemps qualifier in Leopardstown over Christmas and is one to keep in mind. with significant opportunities.

SELECTION: PAISLEY PARK 8-13

DANGER: CITY ISLAND 12-1

PLATE HANDICAP CHASE

4.10: GRADE TWO – 2 MILES 4 FURLONGS

The race that Simply The Betts won on Trials Day in January got a nice boost on day one thanks to the impressive success of Imperial Aura.

Harry Whittington’s progressive pursuit was considered an opportunity for the pursuit of two and a half mile beginners from Grade One, but connections preferred to target this race, believing the seven-year-old was mild. That may well be the case and with its effectiveness assured under the current circumstances, it will absorb many blows.

However, HAPPY DIVA appears to have been thrown out by the market due to a defeat on gruesome ground at Ascot and that could prove to be an overreaction of the layers. Consistency has been Happy Diva’s greatest strength for much of her career, and she finally received the appropriate reward for a series of meritorious endeavors when she won a prestigious pursuit of the disabled last November.

Another run when she was narrowly slapped on her beloved Doncaster by Lady Buttons was another great effort, and she seems too expensive due to the balance of her form this season. Festival winner Mister Whitaker caught his comeback before walking badly behind Santini in the Cotswold Chase and he’s another one to consider.

SELECTION: HAPPY DIVA 18-1

DANGER: JUST THE BETS 7-2

The hustle and bustle of MARES NOVICES

4.50: GRADE TWO – 2 MILES

MINELLA MELODY has the potential to be the latest in a long line of premium mares trained by Henry De Bromhead, and the rigors of this race likely look for a horse that performed a powerful stay at Fairyhouse in January. The selection was good that day for Colreevy, who drove well after the last time to complete a hat trick of success over hurdles.

These colors were brought to victory by Honeysuckle on opening day and while it is premature to start drawing comparisons between the stable mates, Minella Melody is building a reputation in a similar vein. Her prowess associated with her likable disposition could be enough to extend her winning run into a competitive innovation. Concertista, nailed on a leash by Eglantine Du Seuil last year in this event, looks shortlisted again despite being hit on her next three starts.

Her last bet at the Dublin Racing Festival in a strongly run mares event was proof that she remains very capable at this level. Numbers of followers indicated that she was her best career achievement, so she looks like a valuable alternative to Minella Melody for value seekers.

SELECTION: MINELLA MELODY 5-2

DANGER: CONCERTISTA 9-2

FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR CHASE

5.30: DISABILITY – 3 MILES 2 FURLONGS

Ben Pauling has gone through a largely frustrating campaign due to illness in his garden. However, there have been green recoveries in recent weeks, so LE BREUIL can repeat his win at last year’s festival with a well-known man on board. Jamie Codd, National Hunt Chase hero on day one, rode the eight-year-old that day and his horse could peak at the right time if his last attempt at Warwick is used as evidence.

The Classic Chase, won by Grand National, hopes Kimberlite Candy has already won victories for runner-up Captain Chaos and sixth home Head To The Stars, and the form got a nice boost again when The Conditional, which was fourth, on day one of this meeting. Le Breuil had not fallen out of favor during his penultimate start in the Becher Chase and he seems to be boiling well before returning to Aintree next month.

Last year’s number two, Kilfilum Cross, made a bold bid up front that day and should be back on the scene. Today’s test should be more appropriate than the three miles at Kempton he fought last time and he’s shortlisted material.

SELECTION: LE BREUIL 6-1

DANGER: KILFILUM CROSS 10-1

PETER SCUDAMORE – EIGHT TIME CHAMPION JOCKEY

SELECTIONS

1.30 FAUGHEEN 9-2

2.10 SKAN DIBERG 10-1

2.50 MIN 5-2

3.30 PAISLEY PARK 8-13

4.10 EASY TO USE 7-2

4.50 FLORESSA 8-1

5.30 ATTACK PLAN 10-1

PAISLEY PARK is the most likely winner of the entire gathering in the Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle.

The gelding trained by Emma Lavelle won the race last year and has a seven-race winning streak. He’s a lazy racer, only pulls out what to do when challenged, and for a stamina full of performer, he also has a decent pedestrian. He showed that when he beat Summerville Boy on this track at the end of January.

FAUGHEEN was the 2015 Champion Hurdle winner and despite having gone hunting very late in his career, he performed at a high level this season with Grade One wins against Easy Game and Samcro.

MIN was fifth in last year’s Champion Chase last year, but today’s taller Ryanair Chase gives him a better chance. He has the best form of runners, including last year’s winner, Frodon, with his win at Aintree’s Grand National gathering last season, beating Politologue 20 lengths after finishing second in the Champion Chase at the festival. Hard to beat if he can reproduce something like his Aintree run.

SKANDIBERG is the choice in the Pertemps obstacle final after his victory on course and distance on New Year’s Day.

Peter Scudamore is a racing expert for Freebets.com

JANE MANGAN – THE IRISH FACE

SELECTIONS

1.30 Itchy feet 4-1

2.10 KILBRICKEN STORM 16-1

2.50 A PLUS TARD 7-4

3.30 PAISLEY PARK 8-13

4.10 DUTY OF DUTY 18-1

4.50 MINELLA MELODY 5-2

5.30 ATTACK PLAN 10-1

THE team of jockey Rachael Blackmore, trainer Henry De Bromhead and owner Kenny Alexander landed the Mares ‘Hurdle with Honeysuckle on Tuesday and they can strike again with MINELLA MELODY in the Mares Novices’ Hurdle.

The trip is probably her minimum, but she has a very good attitude and will enjoy Cheltenham Hill so she has to keep her unbeaten obstacles.

With De Bromhead yard on fire, A PLUS TARD is the choice to win the Ryanair chase even though he faces good horses led by Frodon and Min.

It would be one of the results of the week if Faugheen could win the Marsh Novices’ Chase, but I’m a huge fan of ITCHY FEET. He is half Faughese’s age and should get better. Could Samcro come back to bite us all? He is a horse with a huge reputation, but so much has gone wrong. They went to great lengths to get him back and he had respiratory surgery.

DEATH DUTY interests me in the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Plate. He was a good beginner before sustaining an injury, but did well twice after a long absence. Rain would help him.

PLAN OF ATTACK looks like another potential winner for the De Bromhead team in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase.

Jane is an expert on Racing TV – the only place to watch every festival race live and uninterrupted. Visit racingtv.com or call 0844 472 5566.

KNOW PITTERSON – BRITAIN’S NO.1 HORSE GUARD

KEN PITTERSON spends his working life on the track looking at horses. Here he gives his judgment on day three …

MISTER FISHER looks solid in the pursuit of Marsh Novices. He was one of the best beginner hurdlers of last season and made a good start over fences, finishing second in Warwick when he needed the run. He took a big step forward with a race and distance win and showed his versatility as he went back two miles to win at Doncaster.

A PLUS TARD was one of the most impressive winners of last year’s festival. He has since made strides by winning a Grade One in Leopardstown on his last start. He has all the qualities to land the Ryanair Chase. Paisley Park is the big favorite for the Stayers’ Hurdle, but there are two options for either direction. A helpful beginner hurdler, EMITOM had no idea and was in need of his seasonal return run, but looked different and was fully focused when he won with a lot of hands at Haydock.

CITY ISLAND, the winner of last season’s Ballymore Novices ’Hurdle, didn’t cross the gates and made the switch to hurdles again. That Ballymore shape now looks very solid.

CAPTAIN HEATH (MARCUS TOWNEND)

A PLUS TARD showed its potential with a clear win at last year’s festival and looked good in Leopardstown at Christmas. It should also be fresh and not run since.

FORMCAST (NIGEL TAYLOR)

Simply The Betts defeated Imperial Aura over this course and distance in January. The runner-up reinforced the form when he won here on Tuesday so that the well-handicapped Simply The Betts can successfully follow today.

SELECTIONS FROM CAPTAIN HEATH

1.30 MISTER FISHER 9-2

2.10 THE STORY COUNTER 11-2

2.50 A PLUS TARD 7-4

3.30 PAISLEY PARK 8-13

4.10 EASY TO USE 7-2

4.50 MINELLA MELODY 5-2

5.30 CHAMPAGNE PLATINUM 4-1

SELECTIONS FROM FORMCAST

1.30 FAUGHEEN 9-2

2.10 WELSH SAINT 13-2

2.50 MIN 5-2

3.30 PAISLEY PARK 8-13

4.10 EASY TO USE 7-2

4.50 CONCERTISTA 9-2

5.30 DEISA ABA 8-1

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