Biden would beat Trump by six points in a 2024 rematch if convicted before the election
- New poll reveals consequences of conviction could cost Donald Trump dearly
- If convicted of any of the four sets of charges, Trump’s chances of overtaking President Joe Biden decrease by 4%.
- Most polls show Trump deadlocked with Biden in 2024 rematch
Donald Trump trails by just two points in a hypothetical rematch against President Joe Biden in 2024 – but his chances drop by 4% if he is convicted before Election Day.
Most investigations show the standoff between Trump and Biden, but the latest provides a glimpse of what could happen if Trump is convicted of any of the four sets of charges against him.
THE latest WPA Intelligence survey shows Biden defeating Trump whether he is convicted or not, but the ex-president has a better chance of winning a second term if he avoids bars.
A post-conviction vote would see Trump lose to Biden by 39 percent to 45 percent, the survey finds. But if they are both on the ballot and no convictions have been made, the gap narrows by 4 percent to give Trump 41 percent, compared to Biden’s 43 percent.
Even Republican support sees a slight 5% drop if Trump is convicted before he goes to the polls next year. At least 6 percent of GOP voters say they would not vote for the former president if he were convicted.
A new poll finds the consequences of a conviction could cost Donald Trump a second chance at the presidency, as his chances of overtaking President Joe Biden drop by 4% if he is convicted.
Most polls, including the latest from WPA Intelligence, show Trump deadlocked against Biden in a hypothetical 2024 rematch.
However, 81% of Republicans say a conviction doesn’t matter to them and they would still vote for Trump — compared to 86% who would vote for him as long as he isn’t convicted.
The first set of charges against Trump were filed earlier this year in connection with the alleged “hush money” payment he allegedly made to porn star Stormy Daniels before the 2016 election. A few months later, he was indicted for retaining classified documents after leaving office.
Most recently, Trump was indicted in two separate cases for his attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 election – the first in Washington, D.C. and the second in Fulton County, Georgia.
Nearly two-thirds of voters — 63 percent — agree with the accusations against Trump in Georgia, according to the poll shared exclusively with the New York Post.
WPA Intelligence CEO Chris Wilson also leads polling and data for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis-aligned political action committee Never Back Down PAC.
DeSantis has mostly fallen far behind Trump, but recently regional polls show him trailing other candidates like biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott and former US ambassador to Washington. UN Nikki Haley.
WPA notes that the PAC supporting DeSantis for the nomination did not sponsor the investigation.