Americans are certainly not excited about the prospect of a Joe Biden-Donald Trump rematch in the 2024 presidential election, a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll shows.
But in an intriguing piece of data, Biden’s position among Democrats has gotten a bit stronger in recent months, while Trump’s position among Republicans has gotten a bit weaker.
Both men have indicated that they expect to announce their intentions for the next campaign sometime after the results for this year’s midterm elections are in, now just 11 days away.
The mid-term poll of 1,000 likely voters, taken via landlines and cell phones from Oct. 19-24, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
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In a future presidential race, Biden leads Trump by 46%-42% — a 4-point margin that matches Biden’s 4.2-point defeat to Trump in 2020. That’s the same 4-point margin Biden had over Trump, 45% -41%, in the USA TODAY/Suffolk poll conducted in July.
Biden’s bad grades get better
At 64%-26%, voters don’t want Biden running for a second term.
Those findings are nothing to brag about, but they are a bit of an improvement from the summer when the 69%-22% surveyed didn’t want him to flee.
Biden’s position among Democrats has improved significantly. At 45%-43%, they now say they want him to run away. In July, only 35% of Democrats wanted him to participate; 50% not.
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Trump’s bad grades are getting worse
At 68%-27%, voters don’t want Trump running for a second term.
Those findings have deteriorated a bit since the summer, when 65%-28% of voters wanted him to drop another bid for the White House.
Trump’s position among Republicans has fallen, although he is still more popular within his own party than Biden is in his. GOP voters at 56%-39% want Trump to be active again. That’s a few points down from July, when 60%-34% Republicans supported a different race.
With ratings it might all be relative
Biden’s job-approval rating has risen to 44% approve-53% disapprove since the summer. Its status is still 9 points underwater, but it surpasses its July rating of 39%-56%.
In the new poll, the president’s favorable-unfavorable rating is 45%-51%.
That 6-point deficit only shines when you compare it to Trump’s 35%-58% rating. Or look at the comparison with the other branches of government: The president’s favorable rating is slightly higher than the Supreme Court’s, at 41%, and overwhelms that of the US Congress at 27%.